Www NZ dating

NZ Dating is a full-featured FREE and anonymous dating site for hetero and gay singles and couples. Whether you're looking for friendship, a relationship or a little excitement, with NZDating YOU WILL find someone! nzdating.com Rank: (Rank based on keywords, cost and organic traffic) n/a Organic Keywords: (Number of keywords in top 20 Google SERP) 0 Organic Traffic: (Number of visitors coming from top 20 search results) 0 Organic Cost: ((How much need to spend if get same number of visitors from Google Adwords) $0.00 Adwords Keywords: When Plenty of Fish first hit the scene, online dating was a strange new world for those searching for that special someone. Since then, we've learned to 'like', 'follow', and slide our way into someone's DMs. Are you looking to find your soulmate or just some fun? Checkout the 15 best dating sites designed for New Zealanders with this daters guide for 2019. Meet the hottest singles online! In just a few clicks, dating will become easy and you will never again have to worry about finding that special someone. Join now!, Z Dating Find Friendships And Love. Welcome to FriendshipsAndDating.com! We are a leading New Zealand dating site and friendship site for singles Over 50. Whether you are seeking friendship, companionship, platonic dating, harmony dating or even that special person to share the rest of your life with, we can help. NZDating online dating site and a fun way of meeting like-minded Kiwis. New Zealand's top online dating service. NZDating is NZ's most popular dating site. New Zealand's only 100% FREE online dating service for New Zealand singles only. No charges ever for photo personal ads, matchmaking and dating forums. Send mail free to quality singles in New Zealand. When we started NZDating over 20 years ago the internet was a vastly different place, with 28k modems, VGA graphics and no such things as smart phones, our priorities were to create a site that was fast, simple to use and enabled Kiwis to meet each other easily. NZ Dating is the number one dating site for New Zealanders who want to connect and date locals without going through the hassle of conventional dating. So join now!, NZ Dating

Lilwa's Little Library

2016.11.15 18:08 Lilwa_Dexel Lilwa's Little Library

Welcome to Lilwa's Little Library!
[link]


2012.11.22 06:15 Gumley Terracoin

Terracoin (TRC) is a person to person digital currency. It shares many similarities to Bitcoin in that it utilizes the SHA 256 algorithm and relies on the concepts outlined in Satoshi's white paper. Terracoin originated in late 2012 after a series of difficulties arose in other digital currencies. There will only be 42 million Terracoin produced. To learn about using and/or mining Terracoin visit the bitcointalk forum or the Terracoin website, Terracoin.io.
[link]


2016.10.03 17:19 ReeZoX TheUnderground - Sharing only, no trades of any sort. Give and you shall receive.

[link]


2020.09.22 11:55 khrispyshots Dont Miss This For Anything

ok guys its a call for action and when i say this i mean this
https://www.uptrennd.com/post-detail/wtfi-is-defi-goes-live-in-less-than-a-week~NzEwMDMw
if you miss this you would really have yourself to blame so guys lets save the date and jump on it..
#REIMAGINE2020 #DeFi #Crypto #blockchain #Uptrennd
submitted by khrispyshots to u/khrispyshots [link] [comments]


2020.09.21 21:42 F0REM4N Series XS Preorder Discussion & Megathread

Series XS Preorder Discussion & Megathread


Pre-order September 22 / Available November 10



Greetings users, and welcome!
The time has come. Our wallets are ready. The preorder window for both the Xbox Series X, and Xbox Series S is upon us. All discussion related to preorders should be directed here. This includes tips, questions, and all related topics. While we will make every effort to keep these details updated, please visit each retailer directly for the most accurate and current information.
One of the most powerful tools reddit can offer is the ability for users to quickly share information. If you would like to see something added to the main post, please share in the comments. We appreciate all of you who add to the conversation, and best of luck on your next-gen console hunting missions.


Tips & Tricks



  • Sort comments in this thread by new for the latest information.

  • Have your account created and payment method saved with retailers before launch. This will greatly speed up the the checkout process, and let you see any issues with payment processing more quickly.

  • Provided below is a link to each store's landing page (or product page when available). This should help you navigate between retailers quickly in case your first choice sells out.


United States

RETAILER Series X Series S Status
Walmart link link not yet live
Best Buy link link not yet live
Gamestop link link not yet live
Microsoft link link not yet live
Amazon link link not yet live
Target link link not yet live

United Kingdom

RETAILER Series X Series S Status
Amazon link link live
Game link link you broke them
Argos link link sold out
Very link link sold out
Microsoft link link out of stock
Currys PC World link link borked
Smyths Toys link link not yet live

Canada

RETAILER Series X Series S Status
Best Buy link link not yet live
Amazon link link not yet live
Microsoft link link not yet live
London Drugs link link not yet live
The Source link link not yet live

Australia

RETAILER Series X Series S Status
Amazon link link ???
JB Hi-Fi link same link sold out
Telstra (all access) link link sold out
EB Games link link out of stock

Germany

RETAILER Series X Series S Status
Amazon link link sold out

Finland

RETAILER Series X Series S Status
Gigantti link link live

Sweden

RETAILER Series X Series S Status
Elgiganten link link live

Norway

RETAILER Series X Series S Status
Elkjop link link live

South Africa

RETAILER Series X Series S Status
Raru link link live

Japan

RETAILER Series X Series S Status
Microsoft link link not yet live (Sept 25)

https://preview.redd.it/87j9bafl1ko51.png?width=150&format=png&auto=webp&s=18336dcbe931b0270e63b06f4705d792b8f15d3a






  • Preorders were delayed/cancelled for Mexico, Argentina, Chile and Brazil just some hours before the 22nd. Launch date is now mentioned as November with no day given. Preorders had been announced to start on the 22nd like on every other country and launch date was previously set to the 10th of November also like in every other country. renatofontes

  • US - multiple Gamestop physical locations are reporting stock of 8x and only 2s per store.

  • US - From Ign According to Microsoft, the following retailers will have Xbox Series X and Series S preorders beginning at 11 AM ET/8 AM PT: Microsoft Store - Amazon - Best Buy - GameStop - Walmart - Target - Sam’s Club - Newegg - "other participating retailers"


  • AU - Amazon has pulled their landing page. We have movement.

  • AU - EB, and JB Hi_Fi have both suspended sales. Derp.

  • AU - JB Hi_Fi does not guarantee release day delivery

  • AU - EB games has pulled their listings, but added a timer to release more? Please check links.

  • AU - Twenty minutes in, Australia EB still has both consoles in stock. (S and X) and Amazon has yet to go live. Telstra had All Access ready to go right at 8am, and the process seems smooth an easy.

  • Pre-orders in India start at 9:00 AM on Flipkart,Amazon and Reliance Digital - clooudype




  • Ebgames Australia’s countdown timer runs out at 8am AEST - itsgotime64

  • MS Japan has preorders set for September 25th. - md127

  • South African retailer starting at 9am: - Weekndr

  • Today, I was at Upper Canada Mall - EB games (Ontario, Canada), they said they will be taking pre-orders on XSX this Tuesday morning. Its a deposit of $100 and it is refundable should you changed your mind. - TheRealGerbi1

  • Wasn’t sure if this was already known but Target has series X controllers listed as $59.99 - Philologian

  • Xbox Series X / S preorders start at 11AM ET / 8AM PT / 8AM BST on September 22nd. Retailers include Amazon, Target, Walmart, Best Buy, Cosco, and more ~ Tom Warren

  • FWIW, I asked a (USA) Microsoft store employee through the chat link on the Xbox series x pre-order page and she said they are aiming for 12:01am EST. I live in Oregon and asked her "so that would mean 9:01pm PST" and she said there's nothing official yet but that's the goal. Again, it was emphasized that nothing is official and the time could change. Senorian1075

  • The (USA) target website is showing the time as starting at 10 am CST - WALMARTGEEK2369

  • Best Buy Canada pre-orders go live Sept 22 at 8AM PDT / 11AM EDT



  • No preorders are currently live
submitted by F0REM4N to xboxone [link] [comments]


2020.09.21 17:52 Talkahuano [USA] How to get certified as a New Zealand MLT!

I'm probably shooting myself in the foot for posting this, but it's good info, so here's what I did.
I am certified as MLS(ASCP) in the United States. I did not qualify for my equivalent degree in New Zealand. They have the Technician and Scientist designations just like we do. I qualified as technician.
First, go to: https://www.mscouncil.org.nz/
Make an account. Have about $400 ready. Here are the documents you have to submit through the website:
A certified copy of your qualifications.
Evidence of 2 years full time employment Evidence of name change if applicable
A record of criminal convictions notice from every country in which you have resided for more than one year from the age of 16. The document must be an original and must be issued within 3 months prior to the date of your application. Criminal check certificates issued by a third party will not be accepted. (I did an FBI background check for about $20 thru the post office)
Academic transcript of medical laboratory science course (I had this notarized)
Certified copy of Healthcare and the Treaty of Waitangi learning module certificate (this is $40 online)
Curriculum Vitae
Evidence of current registration status (I sent ASCP and state licensure verifications)
IELTS results certificate (not necessary if you are born in USA or other English speaking country)
Letter of Good Standing from overseas board/authority (my licensure verification for the state included this)
One passport-style photograph signed with your usual signature and certified to be a true likeness of yourself (stating your name) by a referee or a Justice of the Peace on the reverse.
Copy of your clinical log book - I had the MLS program secretary send this
1 x Certificate of Standing and Experience (personal) – this is a letter of recommendation
1 x Certificate of Standing and Experience (professional) – also a letter of recommendation
A copy of the full course curriculum (in English) for the qualification programme you undertook – I spent about 6 hours tying up summaries of every single class I took in college, with special attention to classes taken for the med lab science degree, as well as a copy of my transcript, and got them all stamped by my university registrar.
Please provide a copy of your full course syllabus, relevant to your years of study. You may need to request this from your educational institution. This includes:
o The year(s) the enclosed curriculum information relates to
o Number of years it takes to gain this qualification
o Subjects studied
o Identification of compulsory and optional subjects
o Details of self-directed learning opportunities
o How students gain clinical experience
o Subject names and the topics studied within each subject area
o The learning outcomes and level of study for the student in each subject area
o The number of credits/hours of study required for each subject area
o Clinical work experience o Clinical tutorials
o Time spent in clinical practice
o Record of clinical work
o Self-evaluation of clinical competency and experience
o Supervision of students during clinical practice
Once you have all those documents, you upload them to their website, pay the money, and wait. They will contact you if they need anything clarified. After about 3 months, I had my MLT certificate.
Please note: New Zealand requires histology. I took a histology refresher course through SAIT in Alberta, Canada, online, to meet this requirement since I was applying for the Scientist level cert. I do not know if certification as MLT is possible without a course in histology. You may have to contact the council to find out (I had already taken it for a Canadian application).
Also note: New Zealand's borders are closed. They are not taking job applicants from abroad, and they are not processing any visa applications - you cannot even attempt applying for a visa right now. I tried. Wait until they open their borders to complete this process.
submitted by Talkahuano to medlabprofessionals [link] [comments]


2020.09.21 06:26 hurky333 Dates for matches at the Basin Reserve this summer may be confirmed...

In a photo posted today to Instagram by the Alternative Commentary Collective (ACC), the Wellington City Council appears to have released some dates (in a newspaper) for domestic and international matches at the Basin Reserve (Buckle Street is the street name of the roundabout one of the streets which surrounds the Basin - thanks u/_dictatorish_!).
The photo is just speculation - I don't live in Wellington so I don't know what local paper this was published in, and I haven't found any news articles confirming the full 2020/21 NZ cricket schedule with dates and locations yet.
What's interesting to me is that Tim Southee has liked the ACC's post - not sure that means anything though.
submitted by hurky333 to Cricket [link] [comments]


2020.09.20 00:00 Lone_Digger123 Never built a PC before. Aiming for NZD$1500-$2400

What will you be doing with this PC? Be as specific as possible, and include specific games or programs you will be using.
I will be playing a variety of games (from minecraft to AC Origins). I want to get into AAA games and will get MS flight simulator but not immediately (so you don't have to have this game in your thoughts when building).
I will also be studying in the next 3 years so I will want it to be able to handle university and be able to run software like GIS (since I'm interested in it and might download some of their apps to play around with).
My aim will be 1440p 144hz gaming. More importance is placed on constant 144hz gaming. Basically I don't want to be playing games and be lagging everywhere and not even get a constant 60fps like on my 6 year old laptop.
What is your maximum budget before rebates/shipping/taxes?
I'm from NZ so this will preferably require parts available in NZ and in NZD.
NZD$1500-$2400. Absolute absolute limit is NZD$2600. $600-$650 tops extra for a monitor.
When do you plan on building/buying the PC? Note: beyond a week or two from today means any build you receive will be out of date when you want to buy.
I will buy the parts around black friday and/or Christmas time due to the specials so things will be cheaper.
What, exactly, do you need included in the budget? (ToweOS/monitokeyboard/mouse/etc)
This is my first PC build ever and the only thing I will be reusing is a mouse.
Which country (and state/province) will you be purchasing the parts in? If you're in US, do you have access to a Microcenter location?
I live in NZ. I will be buying the parts from pbtech. I don't think I have access to a microcenter.
If reusing any parts (including monitor(s)/keyboard/mouse/etc), what parts will you be reusing? Brands and models are appreciated.
I will be re-using a wired mouse. Everything else I will need to buy.
Will you be overclocking? If yes, are you interested in overclocking right away, or down the line? CPU and/or GPU?
I will not be over-clocking in the near future (1-2 years) however if I become really interested in PC's I might think of overclocking in the future.
Are there any specific features or items you want/need in the build? (ex: SSD, large amount of storage or a RAID setup, CUDA or OpenCL support, etc)
I would prefer SSD and no HDD, I know it sounds cliche but I want to future proof somewhat, so if you need to fork $100 more on something like a x570 compared to a B550 even if I don't need a x570 immediately, that is ok. Same goes with the power supply. Going for a higher watt gold+ power supply to get prepared for the future is ok with me if its $50-120 more.
What type of network connectivity do you need? (Wired and/or WiFi) If WiFi is needed and you would like to find the fastest match for your wireless router, please list any specifics.
This question kinda confuses me. If you are talking about if I need a WIFI motherboard then yes, I will need a wifi motherboard. Hopefully this helps or answers the question lol.
Do you have any specific case preferences (Size like ITX/microATX/mid-towefull-tower, styles, colors, window or not, LED lighting, etc), or a particular color theme preference for the components?
I want quality over lights. I will try use as little RGB as possible (however if something is good - I'll use the Phantek 400a as an example) but has RGB, you can still recommend it but I'll just turn the RGB off
Do you need a copy of Windows included in the budget? If you do need one included, do you have a preference?
My friend has a copy of windows so no
Extra info or particulars:
CPU - Ryzen 3600 ($309)
GPU - Sapphire Pulse 5700xt ($768)
Motherboard - MSI x570 tomahawk WIFI ($438)
RAM - G SKILL Trident Z Neo 16GB 3600MHz ($179)
SSD (for windows) - ADATA SX8200 Pro NVMe 512GB ($168)
SSD (everything else?) - Crucial MX500 1TB ($208)
Power supply - Corsair RMx 750W 80+ Gold Full Modular (259)
Case - Phanteks P400a ($159)
Cooler - Cooler Master Hyper 212 fan ($74)
OR
Noctua NH D15 ($199)
Monitor - 1440p option if on a good sale: LG 27GL850-B (sadly its $900 right now). Current option: AOC 24G2 ($348)
I am undecided on the keyboard. I was gonna go for a logitech or corsair keyboard but then after checking out polls on mechanicalkeyboards it turns out they suck so yeah...
Thank you for any help you give me, whether that be reviewing my build or giving me another build based on my recommendations.
submitted by Lone_Digger123 to buildapcforme [link] [comments]


2020.09.19 22:18 GamersGen The ultimate Anomaly all-in-one megapack build with all weapon mods, all 4k textures + 50 other mods

This is probably the best stalker experience to date, here is the list what inside the credit goes to Provak for all his mergin effort:
HD Models addon, all 4k/6k/8k upscaled textures, Living Zone mod, Damien's knife/pistol tweak, Escape From Tarkov ADS/gear rattle, vanilla music pack, Stalkers buy damaged items, Voiced Player character mod, AI Vision stealth Fix, Trade System fix, Immersive Dynamic Tasks, GhenTuong Tasks Pack v2, Better starting loadout, High res PDA map, Fixed First person viewmodels and bullet casings, Boomsticks and Sharpsticks September 2020 weapons, T.H.A.P hands texture mod, Sky bloom fix, Improved SSAO shader, EFT Body Health System, toolkits revamp, various weapon animation replacers, NPC interaction expansion (all NPC give quests), lower rain sound, stash discovery on corpse loot, better stashes, weapon tracers enhanced, Expanded start, JSRS Sound Overhaul 3.0, High Res loading screens, MISERY footsteps addon, HD Icon Overhaul, 75% surrender chance, Arszis Mutant bleeding, sleep anywhere, Anomaly AI Extension, Arszis rotten meat, Blowout Siren mod, New Inventory sounds, HD portraits mod, New Launcher images, new loading screen border, HD weapons Icons, New Main Menu, SoC main Menu music. I removed reshades it looks like shit and added vanilla music mods instead of that anomaly custom crap, honestly, this thing blows my stalkerish mind, so many weapons so much content a true stalker dream come true, enjoy!
https://mega.nz/file/8dFnTIQB#0VdnNPY1xZQqgEs95G7NpFuPBjvgB_1IWjAY06_Qg4Q
some gamplay from it
https://youtu.be/GOzrKPJiYLM
EDIT 1: ATTENTION: you can download this in chrome ONLY! but its a one time download with max speed. You can uninstall that shit after you done :)
EDIT 2: I forgot to add 'traders buy broken shit mod' just in case https://www.moddb.com/mods/stalker-anomaly/addons/all-traders-buy-broken-shit
EDIT 3: also if that body health system thingy icon annoys you, delete player_injuries.script in \Stalker Anomaly\gamedata\scripts\
EDIT 4: if you hit the wall with mega you can always download provaks original aio megapack its a little bit different than this one but 95% same http://www.mediafire.com/file/i3zrwl1nd0pmbgi/file just remove shaders and reshademe files from bin folder(cause it looks like ass) and add vanillamusicmod(it crashes in Generator map just add these lines to game_level_music.ltx located \Stalker Anomaly\gamedata\configs\ [l12_generators_musics] music\amb07 = 6, 22, 0.2, 20, 40 music\amb17) and all the EDIT steps from, it will be basically the same most bad ass Anomaly build you can build as of september 2020.
All the credit goes to sethmi aka Provak - he did this amazing work for us giving us, probably, best stalker experience to date :)
submitted by GamersGen to stalker [link] [comments]


2020.09.19 16:56 CaspianX2 Full list of upcoming games on the Nintendo Switch (US) (Updated 9/19/2020)

Console exclusives (games that are also on PC and/or mobile, but not on other consoles) in Italics. Nintendo exclusives (games that are only on Nintendo platforms) in bold.
For those looking at this list and not sure what's likely to be noteworthy, I have compiled a page with noteworthy releases on Switch for September 2020. Please give them a look if you want to see what games are likely to be some of September's highlights!
As for the full list of upcoming games, here you go:
Games Release date Date confirmed by?
Rebel Galaxy Outlaw 9/22/20 Official Website/Official Website
Castlestorm 2 9/23/20 Nintendo.com
Orbit XL 9/23/20 Nintendo.com
Twin Breaker: A Sacred Symbols Adventure 9/23/20 Nintendo.com
Unrailed! 9/23/20 Nintendo.com
Alluris 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Big-Bobby-Car - The BigRace 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Breakpoint 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Dungreed 9/24/20 Official Trailer
Embracelet 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Going Under 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Gothic Murder: Adventure That Changes Destiny 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Great Conqueror: Rome 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Lost Ember 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Micro Pico Racers 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
My Diggy Dog 2 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Retro Classix Collection #1: Data East 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Rivals of Aether 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Roller Coaster Tycoon 3 Complete Edition 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Secrets of Me 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Selfy Collection The Dream Fashion Stylist! 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
This is the Zodiac Speaking 9/24/20 Official Twitter Post
Wartile 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Car Driving School Simulator 9/25/20 Nintendo.com
Jet Set Knights 9/25/20 Nintendo.com
Port Royale 4 9/25/20 Official Twitter Post
TrollHunters: Defenders of Arcadia 9/25/20 Nintendo.com
Bacon Man: An Adventure 9/25/20 Nintendo.com
Undead Darlings ~No Cure For Love~ 9/28/20 Nintendo.com
Umihara Kawase Bazooka! 9/29/20 Official Trailer
Projection: First Light 9/30/20 Nintendo.com
Detective Case and Clown Bot in: Murder in The Hotel Lisbon 9/30/20 Nintendo.com
Sunless Skies: Sovereign Edition August/September 2020 Official Twitter Post
Curved Space September 2020 Official Trailer
Drive Buy September 2020 Official Trailer/Official Twitter Post
Gamer Girl September 2020 Official Trailer (Trailer no longer available)
Alwa's Legacy Summer 2020 Official Twitter Post
Calico Summer 2020 Official Website
Eldest Souls (Timed Console Exclusive) Summer 2020 Nintendo.com
King of the Hat Summer 2020 Nintendo.com
Rogue Heroes: Ruins of Tasos Summer 2020 Official Website
Alter Cosmos Q3 2020 Official Website
Counter Terrorist Agency Q3 2020 Official Website
Crown Trick Q3 2020 Official Website
Driftland: The Magic Revival Q3 2020 Official Website
Dungeon Defenders Awakened (Timed Exclusive) Q3 2020 Official Twitter Post
Farm Mechanic Simulator Q3 2020 Official Website
Lord Winklebottom Investigates Q3 2020 Official Website
Nogunz: Doppelganger Edition Q3 2020 Official Trailer
The Academy: The First Riddle Q3 2020 Official Trailer
Train Mechanic Simulator Q3 2020 Official Website
Candy Raid: The Factory 10/1/20 Nintendo.com
Farm Builder 10/1/20 Nintendo.com
Filament 10/1/20 Nintendo.com
Liege Dragon 10/1/20 Nintendo.com
Smoots World Cup Tennis 10/1/20 Nintendo.com
Super Mario Bros. 35 (Limited Release, Nintendo Switch Online Subscription Required) 10/1/20 Nintendo.com
Warsaw 10/1/20 Nintendo.com
Ys Origin 10/1/20 Nintendo.com
103 10/2/20 Nintendo.com
Birthday of Midnight 10/2/20 Nintendo.com
Make a Killing 10/2/20 Nintendo.com
Agatha Christie - The ABC Murders 10/6/20 Nintendo.com
Let's Sing: Queen 10/6/20 Official Website
Nickelodeon Kart Racers 2 10/6/20 Nintendo.com
Aery: Sky Castle 10/8/20 Nintendo.com
Game Dev Tycoon 10/8/20 Nintendo.com
I Am Dead (Timed Exclusive) 10/8/20 Nintendo.com
Ikenfell 10/8/20 Official Twitter Post
Piofore: Fated Memories 10/8/20 Nintendo.com
Puddle Knights 10/8/20 Nintendo.com
Torn Tales: Rebound Edition 10/8/20 Nintendo.com
Ben 10: Power Trip! 10/9/20 Nintendo.com
FIFA 21 Nintendo Switch Legacy Edition 10/9/20 Nintendo.com
The Survivalists 10/9/20 Nintendo.com
GI Joe: Operation Blackout 10/13/20 Nintendo.com
Prinny 1•2: Exploded and Reloaded 10/13/20 Official Trailer
Prinny: Can I Really Be the Hero? 10/13/20 Nintendo.com
Prinny 2: Dawn of Operation Panties, Dood! 10/13/20 Nintendo.com
Robotics;Notes Double Pack 10/13/20 Official Trailer
Transformers: Battlegrounds 10/13/20 Official Trailer
Alpaca Ball: Allstars 10/15/20 Official Website
Batbarian: Testament of the Primordials 10/15/20 Official Twitter Post
Burst Shooter 10/13/20 Nintendo.com
Cloudpunk 10/15/20 Official Trailer
Hardcore Mecha 10/15/20 Nintendo.com
Ring of Pain 10/15/20 Official Trailer
Space Crew 10/15/20 Official Trailer
The Jackbox Party Pack 7 10/15/20 Nintendo.com
9 Monkeys of Shaolin 10/16/20 Nintendo.com
Mario Kart Live: Home Circuit 10/16/20 Super Mario Bros. 35th Anniversary Direct
Zoids Wild Blast Unleashed 10/16/20 Nintedo.com
Carto 10/27/20 Official Trailer
Cobra Kai 10/27/20 Official Trailer (IGN Exclusive)
My Universe - Fashion Boutique 10/27/20 Official Website
The Bluecoats - North & South 10/27/20 Official Website
Gibbous - A Cthulhu Adventure 10/28/20 Official Twitter Post
Mad Rat Dead 10/30/20 Official Trailer
Pikmin 3 Deluxe 10/30/20 Nintendo.com
Dusk Halloween 2020 Official Trailer
Hidden Objects Collection October 2020 Official Trailer
Maid of Sker October 2020 Official Twitter Post
Monster Truck Championship October 2020 Official Trailer
Oddworld: New 'N Tasty October 2020 Official Trailer
Slide Stars October 2020 Official Website
Bakugan: Champions of Vestroia (Multiple Versions) 11/3/20 Nintendo.com
Jurassic World Evolution: Complete Edition 11/3/20 Nintendo.com
My Universe - School Teacher 11/3/20 Official Website
PAW Patrol Mighty Pups Save Adventure Bay 11/6/20 Official Trailer
Fuser 11/10/20 Nintendo.com
My Universe - Cooking Star Restaurant 11/10/20 Official Website
Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin 11/10/20 Nintendo.com
XIII 11/10/20 Official Trailer (IGN Summer of Gaming Event 2020)
Just Dance 2021 11/12/20 Nintendo.com
Kingdom Hearts: Melody of Memory 11/13/20 Nintendo.com
Let's Sing 2021 11/13/20 Official Website
Cris Tales 11/17/20 Official Website
Professor Rubik's Brain Fitness 11/17/20 Official Website
Who Wants to Be a Millionaire? 11/17/20 Official Website
Hyrule Warriors: Age of Calamity 11/20/20 Nintendo.com
Cafe Enchante November 2020 Official Website
Death Crown November 2020 Official Trailer
Ruggero Deodato's Cannibal November 2020 Official Website
Chronos: Before the Ashes 12/1/20 Official Twitter Post
Empire of Sin 12/1/20 Nintendo.com
Shiren the Wanderer: The Tower of Fortune and the Dice of Fate 12/2/20 Official Twitter Post
Immortals Fenyx Rising (formerly Gods & Monsters) 12/3/20 Official Trailer
Fitness Boxing 2: Rhythm & Exercise 12/4/20 Nintendo.com
Puyo Puyo Tetris 2 12/8/20 Nintendo Direct Mini: Partner Showcase August 2020
Collection of SaGa Final Fantasy Legend 12/15/20 Nintendo.com
Override 2: Super Mech League December 2020 Official Trailer
Pretty Princess Party December 2020 Official Website
Apex Legends Fall 2020 Nintendo Twitter Post
Axiom Verge 2 Fall 2020 Indie World Showcase 12.10.2019
Commandos 2 HD Remaster Fall 2020 Official Website
Cyanide and Happiness: Freakpocalypse: Part 1 (Timed Console Exclusive) Fall 2020 Nintendo.com
Cyber Shadow Fall 2020 Official Website
GONNER2 Fall 2020 Nintendo.com
Grindstone Fall 2020 Nintendo.com
Oceanhorn 2: Knights of the Lost Realm Fall 2020 Official Trailer
PixelJunk Eden 2 Fall 2020 Nintendo.com
Roki Fall 2020 Publisher Post on Reddit
Shantae: Risky's Revenge - Director's Cut Fall 2020 Official Twitter Post
The Red Lantern Fall 2020 Nintendo.com
Torchlight III Fall 2020 Nintendo.com
Harvest Moon: One World Autumn 2020 (European Release Date) Nintendo.co.uk
Toy Soldiers HD Autumn 2020 Official Website
Alchemic Cutie Q4 2020 Official Website
Circadian City Q4 2020 Announce Trailer
Defense Corp Q4 2020 Developer Comment on Reddit
Ever Forward Q4 2020 Official Website
Metal Revolution Q4 2020 Official Announcement on New Game+ Expo Live Stream (via Gematsu)
Pumpkin Jack Q4 2020 Official Trailer
Golden Force Last Quarter 2020 Official Trailer
Atelier Ryza 2: Lost Legends & The Secret Fairy Winter 2020 Official Trailer
Clive 'N' Wrench Winter 2020 Official Trailer
Taiko No Tatsujin: Rhythmic Adventure Pack Winter 2020 Nintendo.com
B.Ark (Timed Exclusive) Late 2020 Nintendo.com
Beach Buggy Racing 2 Late 2020 Official Website
Charterstone Late 2020 Official Trailer
Dicey Dungeons Late 2020 Nintendo.com
Hoa Late 2020 Wholesome Direct 5-26-2020
Phogs! Late 2020 Nintendo.com
Quantum League Late 2020 Nintendo.com
Signs of the Sojourner Late 2020 Official Trailer
Dangerous Driving 2 Holiday 2020 Official Website
Scott Pilgrim Vs. The World: The Game Complete Edition Holiday 2020 Official Twitter Post
Sniper Elite 4 Holiday 2020 Nintendo.com
Speed 3 Grand Prix Holiday 2020 Official Trailer
Re:Zero – The Prophecy of the Throne Winter 2020/2021 Official Trailer
Aground 2020 Official Website
Astrodogs 2020 Developer post on Reddit
Black Book 2020 Official Trailer
Bladed Fury 2020 Official Twitter Post
Boyfriend Dungeon 2020 Nintendo.com
Bravely Default II 2020 Nintendo.com
Breakpoint 2020 Official Twitter Post
Car Mechanic Flipper 2020 Official Website
Circuit Superstars 2020 Official Website
Collapsus 2020 Official Website
Conarium 2020 Official Trailer
Cthulhu: Books of Ancients 2020 Official Website
DARQ: Complete Edition 2020 Official Trailer
Devil's Hunt 2020 Official Twitter Post
Digimon Survive 2020 Anime Expo panel (relayed by NintendoEverything.com)
Door Kickers 2020 QubicGames 2020 Direct
Eastward 2020 Nintendo.com
Electrix 2020 Official Website
Farm & Fix 2020 2020 Official Website
Farm Manager 2018 2020 Official Website
Flipper Mechanic 2020 Official Website
Gearshifters 2020 Official Website
God Fire 2020 QubicGames 2020 Direct
Good Night Knight 2020 QubicGames 2020 Direct
Greak: Memories of Azur 2020 Official Trailer
Hatch Tales (Formerly Chicken Wiggle Workshop) 2020 Official Website
Haven 2020 Nintendo.com
Hazel Sky 2020 Official Trailer
Heaven's Vault 2020 Official Twitter Post
Hellpoint 2020 Official Twitter Post
Hero: Flood Rescue 2020 Official Website
Hindsight 20/20 2020 Announce Trailer
Hyperbrawl Tournament 2020 Official Website
Kingpin: Reloaded 2020 Official Trailer
King's Bounty II 2020 Nintendo.com
Littlewood 2020 Official Twitter Page
Lords of Exile 2020 Official Website/Official Trailer
Mail Mole 2020 Official Trailer
Maneater 2020 Official Twitter Post
Mars Horizon 2020 Official Website
Moero Crystal H 2020 Official Trailer
Moon Village 2020 Official Website
Mushrooms: Forest Walker 2020 Official Website
N1RV Ann-A 2020 Announce Trailer
Necrobarista 2020 Official Twitter Page
Nyx: The Awakening 2020 Official Reveal Teaser/Official Website
Olija 2020 Official Twitter Post
Olympic Games Tokyo 2020 - The Official Videogame 2020 Official Website
P.U.G.S. Agents 2020 Official Website
Pillars of Eternity II: Deadfire 2020 Interview With Developer
Plastic Rebellion 2020 Official Website
Poker Club 4K 2020 Official Trailer
Real Boxing 2 2020 QubicGames 2020 Direct
Robotics;Notes Elite 2020 Official Website
Scourge Bringer 2020 Nintendo.com
Sail Forth 2020 Nintendo.com
Samurai Gunn 2 2020 Nintendo.com
Spacebase Startopia 2020 Announce Trailer
Spin Rhythm XD 2020 Announce Trailer
Tennis World Tour 2 2020 Official Trailer
The Good Life 2020 Nintendo.com
This Is Pool 2020 Official Website
This Is Snooker 2020 Official Website
Those Who Remain 2020 Official Twitter Page
Trigger Witch 2020 Kinda Funny Games E3 Showcase
Unheard 2020 Official Twitter Post
Unlucky Seven 2020 Official Website
Unto the End 2020 Official Trailer
Zengeon 2020 Official Trailer
Purrtato Tail: By the Light of the Elderstar 2020 "or when it's done" Official Fact Sheet
House Designer 2020/2021 Official Website
Ring of Life: Survive in Proxima 2020/2021 Official Website
Iris.Fall 1/7/21 Nintendo.com
Little Nightmares II 2/1/21 Official Twitter Post
Super Mario 3D World + Bowser's Fury 2/12/21 Nintendo.com
Wrath: Aeon of Ruin 2/25/21 Official Website
Balan Wonderworld 3/26/21 Official Twitter Post
Monster Hunter Rise 3/26/21 Nintendo.com
Turrican Anthology Vol. 1 February/March 2021 Official Website
Turrican Anthology Vol. 2 February/March 2021 Official Website
Sky: Children of the Light "A few months into 2021" Official Website
Blue Fire (Timed Exclusive) Q1 2021 Nintendo.com
Foreclosed Q2 2021 Developer Interview
Pet Clinic - Cats & Dogs Q1 2021 Official Website
Root Film Q1 2021 Official Press Release (via Gamasutra.com)
Wonder Boy: Asha in Monster World Q1 2021 Official Gamescom Trailer (via IGN)
Turrican Collector's Edition April/May 2021 Official Website
Big Rumble Boxing: Creed Champions Spring 2021 Nintendo.com
Lego Star Wars: The Skywalker Saga Spring 2021 Official Trailer
Shin Megami Tensei III: Nocturne HD Remaster Spring 2021 Nintendo Direct Mini 7-20-20 Partner Showcase
Subnautica Early 2021 Nintendo.com
Subnautica: Below Zero Early 2021 Nintendo.com
Disgaea 6: Defiance of Destiny Summer 2021 Nintendo.com
Monster Hunter Stories 2: Wings of Ruin Summer 2021 Nintendo.com
Ys IX: Monstrum Nox Summer 2021 Official Trailer
Party Crasher Simulator Second Half of 2021 Official Press Release
The Lord of the Rings: Gollum Late 2021 Gamescom 2020 presentation (via Dailyradar)
Aeon Must Die 2021 Official Trailer
Backbone 2021 Official Website
Bear and Breakfast (Timed console exclusive) 2021 Nintendo.com
Card Shark 2021 Nintendo.com
Dordogne 2021 Official Trailer
Dual Gear 2021 Official Trailer
Earth Defense Force: World Brothers 2021 Official Trailer (Gamespot Exclusive)
Fallen Legion: Revenants 2021 Official Trailer (New Games Plus Expo 2020)
Gamedec 2021 Official Trailer (Gamescom 2020)
Garden Story 2021 Nintendo.com
Graven 2021 Official Trailer
Lost in Random 2021 Official Press Release
Lost Words 2021 Official Twitter Post
Mineko's Night Market 2021 Nintendo.com
No More Heroes 3 2021 Nintendo.com/Official Twitter Post
Rogue Lords 2021 Official Trailer
Rune Factory 5 2021 Nintendo.com
Serial Cleaners 2021 Official Trailer
She Dreams Elsewhere 2021 Nintendo.com
Shin Megami Tensei V 2021 Nintendo Direct Mini 7-20-20 Partner Showcase
Skatebird 2021 Indie World Showcase 12.10.2019/Official Statement on Kickstarter.com
Starbase Startopia 2021 Official Twitter Post
Saviors of Sapphire Wings/Stranger of Sword City Revisited 2021 Official Trailer
Summer at the Edge of the Universe 2021 Official Twitter Post
Tormented Souls 2021 Official Trailer
Trails of Cold Steel IV 2021 Official Trailer
Vampire: The Masquerade - Swansong 2021 Official Trailer
Warhammer Age of Sigmar: Storm Ground 2021 Official Trailer (via IGN - Gamescom 2020)
Sea of Stars 2022 Official Trailer/Official Trailer
(Note: TBA Dates and Missed Release Dates in comments)
I miss anything? Mis-marked exclusivity? Have an official source with updated info? Let me know!
submitted by CaspianX2 to NintendoSwitch [link] [comments]


2020.09.18 15:31 Infinity315 The case for $OLN

What does $OLN (Olin Corporation) and $VSTO do?
OLN produces chemical products, but most importantly they produce ammunition (it makes up about 10% of their business). From their website, they're the largest supplier of ammunition in the United States. They own Winchester. In addition, they're also one of the largest producers of bleach in NA; which can be used to sanitize things (hurray?). VSTO sells ammunition in addition to providing shooting ranges. However, I think VSTO is a bit overvalued rn. According to the price to book ratio, OLN is currently undervalued.
Hypothesis:
Olin and VSTO will go up in price due to fears arising from the 2020 presidential election. Trump Republicans will buy ammo and guns out of fear that the feds will take their guns if Biden wins. Especially if the protests are not quelled soon.
Supporting evidence:
1. It has been observed (supposedly) that conservatives/republicans are more fear-driven.
Source: https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/mind-in-the-machine/201612/fear-and-anxiety-drive-conservatives-political-attitudes
“Conservatives tend to focus on the negative … To many conservatives, the world may look like a much scarier place … Conservatives have a stronger physiological response to threats … Conservatives’ brains are more reactive to fear.”
2. Google trends indicate a spike in interest for ammo prior to elections.
Keep in mind this when reading the trend graphs (especially 2012):
” Numbers represent search interest relative to the highest point on the chart for the given region and time. A value of 100 is the peak popularity for the term. A value of 50 means that the term is half as popular. A score of 0 means there was not enough data for this term.” - Google
2016 : (Notice how the states with the most interest voted red? Wyoming, Alaska, West Virginia, Montana)
2012 (keep in mind this is 2012; the supposed end of the world, however, it still indicates a spike in interest at November) :
(Red states again have the most interest: Wyoming, Oklahoma, West Virginia, Alaska, Arkansas)
2008: (Regions with most interest: Wyoming, Oregon, Utah, Idaho, Montana)
3. Google trends for BLM and Antifa for the past 12 months:
Notice the majority interest is from red states and not blue states? Why would red states be more interested in what is generally regarded as Liberal or blue groups than democrats and liberals? Trump Republicans are very much scared / hate these groups.
BLM: (Regions with most interest: Wyoming, Oregon, Utah, Idaho, Montana)
Antifa (Regions with most interest: Wyoming, Oregon, Utah, Idaho, Montana)
Chaz (Regions with most interest: Wyoming, Oregon, Utah, Idaho, Washington)
4. The stock market seems to follow a similar trend with spikes around November:
2016
2012
2008
5. The rhetoric Trump and his campaign is feeding his supporters:
“President @realDonaldTrump: “The rhetoric of Biden and the Radical Left puts your law enforcement in serious danger””
https://twitter.com/TeamTrump/status/1306777755082780674
“President @realDonaldTrump: “Biden will hand the left-wing mob the keys to your kids’ classroom"”
https://twitter.com/TeamTrump/status/1306771724113981442
Trump text: https://i.redd.it/usbcfmp0mpn51.jpg (ignore the right-hand side)
Trump supporters have remained steadfast in their support for Trump. Trump has captured the loyalty of ~40% of the voting population that seems like they will never give up on him
6. Biden’s Platform:
Things that would be most concerning for pro-gun people (in my opinion)
“Require background checks for all gun sales.”
“Reduce stockpiling of weapons.”
“End the online sale of firearms and ammunition.”
7. There are concerns of ammo shortages, I suspect this will only get worse as the election comes near.
Google trends for "ammo shortage"
Google trends for "ammo in stock"
"Why not VSTO / Federal Premium Ammunition?"
Google trends indicate that Winchester ammunition occupies more headspace than Federal Premium Ammunition, however, considering that there is an expected ammo shortage, go for it.
https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&q=Federal%20Premium%20ammo,winchester%20ammunition
My personal opinion:
Trump will likely increase the rhetoric, especially up until the very end of the election. The US is at it's greatest political divide since the civil war and the civil rights movement. This election will spark fear in both parties, potentially making some Democrats take up arms. Trump has also planted the idea that the election could be fraudulent in his supporters head's, meaning there is likely a significant portion of supporters who will stock up to "defend the constitution" or something like that. *****-----------------------------*****
Don’t skip this shit. If there is one thing you should not skip, it's this part.
*****-----------------------------*****
Should you trust me?
Full disclosure, I’m a university student in Canada. I probably know less about US politics than many Americans. I study Computer Science with a minor in Math, meaning guns, and US politics is a field I'm not 100% familiar with and am not an expert. I've never owned or shot a gun in my life and don't plan on doing so anytime in the near future. I'm pretty much completely removed from any and all gun culture. I’ve been trading for just under a 3/4 of a year now. I’m admittedly extremely inexperienced with trading and have lost a significant portion of the money I put in on stupid trades and COVID. I can only afford 2 contracts atm and my options level is not high enough for diagonals (balance is too low). Make of that what you will with this information. Don't complain if my stupidity causes you to lose money, you're choosing to listen to a stupid person.
Finally, the play (my position):
15/01/2021 $13 and $12 strikes. OLN
No positions on VSTO, the premiums are a bit much.
I look forward to a sober voice to double-check my work and ensure I'm right (or wrong). Advice is welcome.
Edit an addendum:
So I attempted to gauge the demand and the outlook for the chemical products that OLN sells. Here are my findings:
The significant drop in OLN at April correlates with the drop in demand / prices for their products in April.
PVC has gone up 35% since april, OLN produces PVC precursors
Sodium Hypochlorite prices have been flat since april
Potassium Chloride / Potash seems to be making a recovery since april
Outlook for Caustic Soda seems positive, the price has increased
The outlook for epoxy seems somewhat neutral to somewhat negative, according to ICIS
Akali Price index is slightly negative
I tried finding price charts from the same sites, but unfortunately some were too outdated or did not exist at all.
Note: I could not find the actual prices of what OLN is selling their products, but I believe that these charts could give some idea.
submitted by Infinity315 to options [link] [comments]


2020.09.17 22:38 wttnz Voting - What’s next?

This is the final post in a series about the election. If people want I can repost the whole lot as a single post in a few weeks time.
Voting starts on 3rd of October, it will be good to vote early if you can. The 17th of October is Election Day and the last day to vote. You can still vote on Election Day even if you’re not on the roll.
At the end of Election Day the vote counting begins, expect most results by 11pm. You can follow along on TV or assorted websites. www.electionresults.govt.nz
Numbers on the night are not always a clear indication of who will become the government. Under MMP it normally takes a collection of parties to make a government and that can take a week or two for it to become clear who will support who.
Be aware that the referendum ballots are not counted on election night. The referendum results will be released by the Electoral Commission on Friday 30 October. The official results will be released on Friday 6 November.
After election night all the voting papers are recounted and checked, at this point “special” votes are checked to make sure they are valid and then added to the official numbers. This process can change a seat or two and often favours the left wing parties.
Final and offical results will be published Friday 6th November.
The 12th of November is the last day for the return of the writ, this is the formal list of who has been elected.
Who is the government? Any member from the 120 elected members can go to the Governor General and say, “I have the numbers to form a government” The Governor General will normally ask for some kind of evidence that they have the numbers. Written agreements between parties, commonly called a “confidence agreement”, is the evidence that a smaller party has confidence in the leadership of the larger party.
Opening of parliament Around the 17th of November members will be called together by the Governor General.
First business of the house is to select a “Speaker” who acts as chairperson for the parliament. Normally the government side will pick one of their own for the big chair.
The speech from the throne The next step is rich in tradition and history. Because the Governor General does not enter the debating chamber (a custom that dates back to 1642 in UK) the Usher of the Black Rod (who is the official messenger of the Governor-General) will summon the members of Parliament to attend the “Speech from the Throne” by knocking on the door of the debating chamber three times. The Usher of the Black Rod informs members that the Governor General requires their attendance in the Legislative Council Chamber. The Governor General will then read the speech from the throne, this is an overview of the plans of the new government.
Video of opening of parliament in 2017: https://youtu.be/jl136JbkKMA
And in 3 years we do it all again.
submitted by wttnz to newzealand [link] [comments]


2020.09.17 05:50 sled603 ~~Official Permit Appointment date swap / giveaway thread~~

Use this thread to post appointment date swaps, date giveaways ETC. This thread will recycle every month.
As a friendly reminder, the State tried to shut down the permit process due to Covid. CCDL fought back to reinstate the permit processing. Please consider donating to CCDL as they have and continue to fight for our 2A rights! CCDL donations
"The CCDL was forced to bring suit after the Governor’s March 17, 2020 Executive Order 7E suspended Connecticut General Statute § 29-17c, the law requiring state and local law enforcement to fingerprint, and process the applications of, Connecticut residents seeking State-issued permits to legally purchase and possess firearms, ammunition and magazines."
submitted by sled603 to CTguns [link] [comments]


2020.09.16 20:03 rSpaceXHosting r/SpaceX Starlink-12 Official Launch Discussion & Updates Thread


Welcome to the SpaceX Starlink-12 Official Launch Discussion & Updates Thread!

Shalom!
I'm u/Shahar603, your host of the 12th Starlink V1.0 launch.
The 12th operational batch of Starlink satellites (13th overall) will lift off from LC-39A at Kennedy Space Center, Florida on a Falcon 9 rocket. In the weeks following deployment the Starlink satellites will use onboard ion thrusters to reach their operational altitude of 550 km. This is the fourth batch of Starlink satellites which all feature "visors" intended to reduce their visibility from Earth. Falcon 9's first stage (B1058.3, the booster that has been used on the historic DM-2 mission) will attempt to land on a drone ship approximately 633 km downrange, its third landing overall, the ships are in place to attempt the recovery of both payload fairing halves.

Mission Details

Liftoff time TBD
Backup date TBD
Static fire TBD
Probability of Violating Weather Constraints 30% Weather Violations (70% GO)
Payload 60 Starlink V1.0
Payload mass ~15,600 kg (Starlink ~260 kg each)
Deployment orbit Low Earth Orbit, ~ 210km x 390km 53°
Operational orbit Low Earth Orbit, 550 km x 53°
Vehicle Falcon 9 v1.2 Block 5
Core B1058.3
Past flights of this core 2 (DM-2, ANASIS-II)
Fairing catch attempt likely
Launch site KSC LC-39A, Kennedy Space Center, Florida
Landing JRTI (~633 km downrange)
Mission success criteria Successful separation & deployment of the Starlink Satellites.

Timeline

Time Update
Next attempt NET September 18
Standing down from today's attempt 
T-1:00:00 T-1 hour
T-24:00:00 Thread goes live

Watch the launch live

Stream Courtesy
Official webcast SpaceX
Audio Relays for people without access to YouTube! u/codav

Stats

☑️ 102nd SpaceX launch
☑️ 95th Falcon 9 launch
☑️ 3rd flight of B1058
☑️ 61st Landing of a Falcon 9 1st Stage
☑️ 17th SpaceX launch this year
☑️ 59 days since this booster's previous flight
☑️ 14 days since the previous launch
☑️ 14 days since the previous launch from LC-39A



Resources

🛰️ Starlink Tracking & Viewing Resources 🛰️

Link Source
Celestrak.com u/TJKoury
Flight Club Pass Planner u/theVehicleDestroyer
Heavens Above
n2yo.com
findstarlink - Pass Predictor and sat tracking u/cmdr2
SatFlare
See A Satellite Tonight - Starlink u/modeless
Starlink orbit raising daily updates u/hitura-nobad
They might need a few hours to get the Starlink TLEs

Mission Details 🚀

Link Source
SpaceX mission website SpaceX
Launch weather forecast 45th Weather Squadron

Social media 🐦

Link Source
Reddit launch campaign thread SpaceX
Subreddit Twitter SpaceX
SpaceX Twitter SpaceX
SpaceX Flickr SpaceX
Elon Twitter Elon
Reddit stream u/njr123

Media & music 🎵

Link Source
TSS Spotify u/testshotstarfish
SpaceX FM u/lru

Community content 🌐

Link Source
Flight Club u/TheVehicleDestroyer
Discord SpaceX lobby u/SwGustav
Rocket Watch u/MarcysVonEylau
SpaceX Now u/bradleyjh
SpaceX time machine u/DUKE546
SpaceXMeetups Slack u/Cam-Gerlach
Starlink Deployment Updates u/hitura-nobad
SpaceXLaunches app u/linuxfreak23
SpaceX Patch List

Participate in the discussion!

🥳 Launch threads are party threads, we relax the rules here. We remove low effort comments in other threads!
🔄 Please post small launch updates, discussions, and questions here, rather than as a separate post. Thanks!
💬 Please leave a comment if you discover any mistakes, or have any information.
✉️ Please send links in a private message.
✅ Apply to host launch threads! Drop us a modmail if you are interested.


submitted by rSpaceXHosting to spacex [link] [comments]


2020.09.16 11:41 RandomStuffNow Game theory: Stats For Nerds

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submitted by RandomStuffNow to u/RandomStuffNow [link] [comments]


2020.09.15 19:18 F0REM4N Xbox Series XS Preorder Megathread and Info Hub

Xbox Series XS Preorder Megathread and Info Hub


Pre-order September 22 / Available November 10


Greetings users, and welcome!
The time has come. Our wallets are ready. The preorder window for both the Xbox Series X, and Xbox Series S is upon us. All discussion related to preorders should be directed here. This includes tips, questions, and all related topics. While we will make every effort to keep these details updated, please visit each retailer directly for the most accurate and current information.
One of the most powerful tools reddit can offer is the ability for users to quickly share information. If you would like to see something added to the main post, please share in the comments. We appreciate all of you who add to the conversation, and best of luck on your next-gen console hunting missions.


Tips & Tricks



  • Sort comments in this thread by new for the latest information.

  • Have your account created and payment method saved with retailers before launch. This will greatly speed up the the checkout process, and let you see any issues with payment processing more quickly.

  • Provided below is a link to each store's landing page (or product page when available). This should help you navigate between retailers quickly in case your first choice sells out.


United States

RETAILER Series X Series S Status
Walmart link link not yet live
Best Buy link link not yet live
Gamestop link link not yet live
Microsoft link link not yet live
Amazon link link not yet live
Target link link not yet live

United Kingdom

RETAILER Series X Series S Status
Amazon link link live
Game link link you broke them
Argos link link sold out
Very link link sold out
Microsoft link link *live*
Currys PC World link link borked
Smyths Toys link link not yet live

Canada

RETAILER Series X Series S Status
Best Buy link link not yet live
Amazon link link not yet live
Microsoft link link not yet live
London Drugs link link not yet live
The Source link link not yet live

Australia

RETAILER Series X Series S Status
Amazon link link ???
JB Hi-Fi link same link sold out
Telstra (all access) link link sold out
EB Games link link out of stock

Germany

RETAILER Series X Series S Status
Amazon link link sold out

Finland

RETAILER Series X Series S Status
Gigantti link link live

Sweden

RETAILER Series X Series S Status
Elgiganten link link live

Norway

RETAILER Series X Series S Status
Elkjop link link live

South Africa

RETAILER Series X Series S Status
Raru link link live

Japan

RETAILER Series X Series S Status
Microsoft link link not yet live (sept 25)



https://preview.redd.it/xitgxzw6jsn51.png?width=150&format=png&auto=webp&s=ca301dabb15ad30c2847b96d846fe9f0ef00b27d






  • Preorders were delayed/cancelled for Mexico, Argentina, Chile and Brazil just some hours before the 22nd. Launch date is now mentioned as November with no day given. Preorders had been announced to start on the 22nd like on every other country and launch date was previously set to the 10th of November also like in every other country. renatofontes

  • US - multiple Gamestop physical locations are reporting stock of 8x and only 2s per store.

  • US - From Ign According to Microsoft, the following retailers will have Xbox Series X and Series S preorders beginning at 11 AM ET/8 AM PT: Microsoft Store - Amazon - Best Buy - GameStop - Walmart - Target - Sam’s Club - Newegg - "other participating retailers"

  • AU - Amazon has pulled their landing page. We have movement.

  • AU - EB, and JB Hi_Fi have both suspended sales. Derp.

  • AU - JB Hi_Fi does not guarantee release day delivery

  • AU - EB games has pulled their listings, but added a timer to release more? Please check links.

  • AU - Twenty minutes in, Australia EB still has both consoles in stock. (S and X) and Amazon has yet to go live. Telstra had All Access ready to go right at 8am, and the process seems smooth an easy.

  • Pre-orders in India start at 9:00 AM on Flipkart,Amazon and Reliance Digital - clooudype




  • Ebgames Australia’s countdown timer runs out at 8am AEST - itsgotime64

  • MS Japan has preorders set for September 25th. - md127

  • South African retailer starting at 9am: - Weekndr

  • Today, I was at Upper Canada Mall - EB games (Ontario, Canada), they said they will be taking pre-orders on XSX this Tuesday morning. Its a deposit of $100 and it is refundable should you changed your mind. - TheRealGerbi1

  • Wasn’t sure if this was already known but Target has series X controllers listed as $59.99 - Philologian

  • Xbox Series X / S preorders start at 11AM ET / 8AM PT / 8AM BST on September 22nd. Retailers include Amazon, Target, Walmart, Best Buy, Cosco, and more ~ Tom Warren

  • FWIW, I asked a (USA) Microsoft store employee through the chat link on the Xbox series x pre-order page and she said they are aiming for 12:01am EST. I live in Oregon and asked her "so that would mean 9:01pm PST" and she said there's nothing official yet but that's the goal. Again, it was emphasized that nothing is official and the time could change. Senorian1075

  • The (USA) target website is showing the time as starting at 10 am CST - WALMARTGEEK2369

  • Best Buy Canada pre-orders go live Sept 22 at 8AM PDT / 11AM EDT



  • No preorders are currently live
submitted by F0REM4N to XboxSeriesX [link] [comments]


2020.09.15 07:17 WhiteNoise3000 Can I put books (hardcover and paperback) in the recycling bin ?

I'm having a big tidy up and have lots of old books. Some are probably still of interest and I'm donating them to the rotary club for their used book sale. However some are out of date IT books and textbooks which are of little use.
I was wondering whether to put them in the recycling bin or not. This page is a bit confusing. It seems to imply they can go in the recycling bin but there is also the ALERT on the same page.
https://www.aucklandcouncil.govt.nz/rubbish-recycling/Pages/recycle-item.aspx?ListItemId=188
Thanks.
submitted by WhiteNoise3000 to auckland [link] [comments]


2020.09.15 06:22 HDCONTRACTORLIMITED Interior Painting Cost Calculator (NZ) Updated 2020

Interior Painting Cost Calculator (NZ) Updated 2020

https://preview.redd.it/a89de42dn8n51.png?width=602&format=png&auto=webp&s=941cd27be4a01e8a3ab68f14822e92ae400f6b11
If you’re considering hiring a professional interior painter in Auckland, you're most likely doing a bit of research before contacting a few companies - and hence you're on this page now. When we attend on-site meetings, generally we get the same questions every time and I've listed the top 3 here:
How long will my interior painting project take?
There are no two houses alike, and the painting process will vary from project to project. However, we do understand that you might want to know the start and finish dates so you could plan your life around it. Particularly if you're still living in the home, and you're intending to get interior painting done - it does seem like it's going to be a real inconvenience.
In most cases, after the on-site visit, the project manager is able to under the scope of the project and will be able to give you an idea of how long it would take. But do keep in mind that things can get a bit tricky for exterior painting (due to access to scaffolding, and being weather dependant). You'll also be assigned a project manager that will be involved in the whole process, updates on the status of your project will be provided regularly to ensure you can plan things on your end. From our experience, we can comfortably say that the interior painting usually takes anywhere from one to three weeks depending on the type and the scope of the work.
What should I do to prepare my house for interior painting?
This is a great question because prepping is one of the key elements of a successful painting job. Before starting each project, we usually ask the homeowner to store their delicate furniture, fixtures/ornaments and breakables away. An option is also hiring a temporary storage unit to be placed on-site if a garage is not available. This way, you’ll make sure that your beloved painting, wall mirror, or a heritage vase stays undamaged and free of color spills. With that said, we will move all furniture items into the middle of the room and cover your belongings, floors, and windows with a clean drop cloth or a plastic sheet. Upon completion of the painting project, we will place your furniture back to where it was at the beginning of our job to make your experience stays stress-free and relaxed.
How much is it for interior house painting?
Not surprisingly this is the most common question actually hence why we've put this interior painting cost calculator together for everyone (for research purposes). But keep in mind that it is only to be used to give you an indication of what you can expect to pay based on averages - but the cost does vary from house to house.
For a fixed accurate quote, we will need to conduct an on-site visit to assess your property in detail and write up a scope of works based on your requirements - and then providing the best option based on our experience. There are a lot of things that go into estimating the cost of a particular job. From the type and the size of the painting area to the height of your ceiling, and to the extent of the needed surface preparation. There are also a lot of different types (not just colors) to choose from depending on what you're trying to achieve and we will also advise on the best paint during the color consultation.
submitted by HDCONTRACTORLIMITED to u/HDCONTRACTORLIMITED [link] [comments]


2020.09.14 21:17 StevenStevens43 Rothechtaid moses family (2)

Rothechtaid moses family (2)
Red shield:
This article is in response to another article i wrote, which i will link to below.
In my last article, i received a reply from someone.
Rothechtaid family
  • FetterJoint wrote
I believe you are, at least, mistaken with the origin of the name „Rothschild“. It does not come from the word „child“, but rather the German „Schild“ meaning „shield“. Rothschild means „red schield“.
Link for photo
Flag of Alba
Rothenschild:
So. Is FetterJoint correct?
Yes, of course he is.
Overview
The name is derived from the German zum rothen Schild (with the old spelling "th"), meaning "at the red shield", in reference to the house where the family lived for many generations (in those days houses were designated not by numbers but by signs displaying different symbols or colours). A red shield can still be seen at the centre of the Rothschild coat of arms.
Link for photo
Rothschild family crest
Red:
Now, let us take on board the information received from FetterJoint, and work out whether or not this strengthens my position, or weakens it.
So let us look at the meanings of "Roth", once again.
Roth obviously has strong connections with the word "red".
I will also only point out the definitions which best support my position.
I will however produce a link, which links directly to the list of definitions, and you can decide yourself if i left anything out which would "contradict" my argument.
But 3, 4, 5 were left out due to irrelevance.
Roth surname)
  1. The spilling of blood from the warrior class of ancient Germanic soldiers;
  2. Ethnic name for an Anglo-Saxon, derived from rot (meaning "red" before the 7th century), referencing red-haired people;
  3. Derivative from roe in the ancient Danish language to signify (of) a king;
7, Of the red colour of clay, as in pottery (German).
Ebraucus:
Now, i aim to attempt to find out where the orgins of Rothechtaids becoming "Red shields", might come from.
And i will begin with a supposed king of Albany (Scotland) from approximately 1060 BC to 1010 BC, named Ebraucus.
Now, according to British legends, Ebraucus founded the village of Eboracum, which later evolved in to the City of York.
I will also just add. It is in fact likely not true that Scotland did not get conquered by the Romans.
As i have revealed in prior threads, there is a natural border between Northern Britain and Southern britain running all the way between the river Humber, just below York, and the Lake district, in the form of rivers and streams that flow out in to the Irish sea.
In British legends, this marked the border between Loegria (England) and Albany (Scotland).
So when the Romans conquered Eboracum, that was likely Albion/Caledionia, and they pushed the border up to Hadrians wall.
Ebraucus
He founded two settlements: Kaerebrauc, the City of Ebraucus (Eboracum), north of the Humber (this later became York,
Link for photo
Constantine the Great in Eboracum
Eboracum:
So, is it true that York derived it's name from Eboracum?
Well, yes. The etymological roots of the word York, is Eboracum.
Origin of the name
The word York (Old Norse: Jórvík) is derived from the Brittonic name Eburākon (Latinised) variously as Eboracum, Eburacum or Eburaci),
Link for photo
Tower of Eboracum
Alclud:
Another sensational claim is that Ebraucus also founded the old Capital of Albany, Alclud, in Strathclyde.
Ebraucus
and Alclud in Albany (now part of Dunbarton, capital of Strathclyde).
Breton:
So what evidence is there to suggest this is true?
Well, in actual fact, contemporary historians and scholars, agree, that the Brythonic language evolved out of the old Albannach speaking kingdom of Alclud, when Alclud became "Breton", the capital of Strathclyde, not long after the Romans left.
Strathclyde
Strathclyde (lit. "Strath of the River Clyde"), originally Cumbric: Ystrad Clud or Alclud (and Strath-Clota in Anglo-Saxon), was one of the early medieval kingdoms of the Britons) in what the Welsh call Hen Ogledd ("the Old North"), the Brythonic-speaking parts of what is now southern Scotland and northern England. The kingdom developed during the post-Roman period. It is also known as Alt Clut, a Brittonic term for Dumbarton Castle,[1]
Link for photo
Strathclyde
Town of Maidens:
Apparently, Ebraucus also built the town of Maidens, which was supposed to be an ancient settlement on the castle rock, which is the location of todays Edinburgh castle.
Ebraucus
According to Polydore Vergil he "builded the town of Maidens, now called Edinburgh Castle,
Link for photo
Edinburgh castle
Maidens castle:
So what is the truth in this?
Well, in actual fact, the Edinburgh castle was in fact referred to as the Maidens castle, right up until the 16th Century.
Earliest habitation
The name "Maidens' Castle" (Latin: Castra or Castellum Puellarum) occurs frequently up until the 16th century.[15] It appears in charters of David I (r. 1124–1153) and his successors,[16] although the reason for it is not known. William Camden's survey of Britain, Britannia (1607), records that "the Britans called [it] Castle Myned Agned [winged rock], the Scots, the Maidens Castle
Link for photo
LLUEDDINIAWN Castle
Battle against Gauls:
Now, Ebraucus also fought a battle against Gauls, and slaughtered them, apparently.
Ebraucus
Following the death of his father, Mempricius, he became king and reigned 39 years. According to Geoffrey he was admired, tall, and remarkably strong. He was the first to wage war on the Gauls since the time of Brutus. By pillaging the cities and shores and slaughtering many men
King Maddan:
Now, Embraucus grandfather, just so happened to be King Maddan.
So, more likely Maddans town.
It has already been revealed in a quote earlier, that Embraucus is the son of Mempricius.
Mempricius
Mempricius (Welsh: Membyr) was a legendary king of the Britons), as recounted by Geoffrey of Monmouth. He was the son of King Maddan and brother of Malin.
Enna Airdech:
Now, i understand this all might be hard to follow, and might be getting confusing, but you might just have to read things over carefully.
Enna Airgdech was an Irish high king that avenged the death of his father, by killing Oengus Olmucaid.
Enna Airgdech
Énna Airgdech ("rich in silver",[1] also spelled Airgthech, Airgtheach), son of Eochu Mumu, was, according to medieval Irish legend and historical tradition, a High King of Ireland. He came to power after killing the previous incumbent and his father's killer, Óengus Olmucaid,
Oengus Olmucaid:
Oengus Olmucaid, was an Irish high king who was credited with conquering the whole of Albany, aswell as the Orkneys, and probably Germanic parts of Scandinavia (Schleswig)
Oengus Olmucaid
Óengus Olmucaid (or Aengus Olmucada), son of Fíachu Labrainne, was, according to medieval Irish legend and historical tradition, a High King of Ireland. During the reign of his father, he conquered Scotland. He came to power by killing the incumbent High King, Eochu Mumu, who had killed his father twenty-one years earlier. He fought many battles against the Cruithne), the Fir Bolg, the Fomorians and other peoples of Ireland, the people of the Orkney islands, and even the Longobardi. He was killed by Enna Airgdech, son of Eochu Mumu,
Rothechtaid mac Main 1005 BC until 980 BC:
Now, Rothechtaid mac Main also reigned as high king of Ireland from 1005 BC until 980 BC.
He also killed the person which killed his grand-father, and king of Albany, Oengus Olmucaid.
This would effectively make Rothechtaid mac Main, the King of Albany, and most likely related to Ebracus through Maddan and malin.
Or, Maen, depending upon dialect/
Rothechtaid mac Main
Rothechtaid, son of Maen, son of Óengus Olmucaid, was, according to medieval Irish legend and historical tradition, a High King of Ireland. He came to power by killing the previous incumbent, his grandfather's killer Énna Airgdech, in the battle of Raigne. He ruled for twenty-two years. The Lebor Gabála Érenn gives two versions of his death. In one version, he was killed in single combat in Cruachan by Sétna Airt, who fought to protect his son Fíachu Fínscothach. In the other version, he died of his wounds in Tara.[1] The chronology of Geoffrey Keating's Foras Feasa ar Éirinn dates his reign to 1005–980 BC,[2]
Silver shields;
In order to win the throne back, Rothechtaid mac Main defeated an army (likely lombards) which used silver shields.
Enna Airgdech
Énna Airgdech ("rich in silver",[1] also spelled Airgthech, Airgtheach), son of Eochu Mumu, was, according to medieval Irish legend and historical tradition, a High King of Ireland. He came to power after killing the previous incumbent and his father's killer, Óengus Olmucaid, in the battle of Carman. He is said to have made silver shields for his nobles in Argatros. He reigned for twenty-seven or twenty-eight years, before being killed by Óengus' grandson Rothechtaid mac Main in the battle of Raigne.[2]
Red hair:
Now that i have hopefully established that Rothechtaid mac Main and Ebraucus are likely the same person. I will now attempt to highlight why "Roth" appears to be synonymous with the word "Red".
Red hair is pretty much synonymous with people from North west europe, and you do not get any farther North West europe, than Ireland and Scotland.
Red hair
Red hair (or ginger hair) occurs naturally in one to two percent of the human population, appearing with greater frequency (two to six percent) among people of Northern or Northwestern European ancestry and lesser frequency in other populations. It is most common in individuals homozygous for a recessive allele) on chromosome 16 that produces an altered version of the MC1R protein.[1]
Link for photo
Red haired warriors chasing the Greeks, in Greece, 340 BC
Queen Tati:
Now, this surprisingly brings me to just before the time of the Hyksos, which likely began when a foreign king named Sheshi, married an Ethiopian queen named Tati, in order to forge a Canaante union with Upper egypt and Canaan, much to the displeasure of the native lower Egyptians, that placed Teti on the execration texts, which were pretty much the Egyptian equivalent of todays terrorist register, minus the voodoo dolls.
Queen Tati)
Tati's seals have been found at Leontopolis) and Abydos. Since her scarabs are of two designs, this has allowed them to be dated to the reign of Sheshi, since the designs correspond to a change that took place during his reign, as evidenced by his hundreds of surviving seals. The most likely explanation for her prominence is that she was the wife of Sheshi.[1]#cite_note-FOOTNOTERyholt199753-1)
The Egyptologist Kim Ryholt suggested that Tati's marriage was probably part of a dynastic alliance between Sheshi and the Kushite rulers of Kerma. This is suggested by the strong relations the Fourteenth Dynasty is known to have had with Kerma, as well as by the names of Tati and her presumed son.[3]#cite_note-FOOTNOTERyholt1997114%E2%80%9315-3) The name Tati is attested in earlier execration texts naming a Kushite queen (spouse of Awaw) as one of the enemies of the pharaoh.
Link for photo#/media/File:Scarab_BM20824_Newberry.png)
Tati painting
Sheshi:
So, it appears, this foreigner got in to the Nile delta, to establish a dynasty known as the Hyksos, by marrying an Ethiopian princess, regarded as a terrorist by Lower egyptians.
Sheshi
Ryholt proposed that Sheshi allied his kingdom with the Kushites in Nubia via a dynastic marriage with the Nubian princess Tati). Ryholt further posits that the son of Sheshi and Tati was Nehesy, whose name means "The Nubian", whom he believes succeeded Sheshi to the throne as the pharaoh Nehesy Aasehre.
Link for photo.jpg)
Sheshi cartouche
Ahmose I:
Of course, as has already been established in previous articles, the descendants of the Sheshi & Tati marraige, would later turn against their foreign roots, and ally themselves only with their Kushite roots, and would expel the foreigners during an uprising in 1549 BC.
Ahmose I
During his reign, Ahmose completed the conquest and expulsion of the Hyksos from the Nile Delta, restored Theban rule over the whole of Egypt and successfully reasserted Egyptian power in its formerly subject territories of Nubia and Canaan.[8]
Link for photo
Ahmose I
Amschel Moses Rothschild:
Now, this brings me to the Roth uprising to internation prominence beginning with Amschel Moses Rothschild.
Overview
The family's ascent to international prominence began in 1744, with the birth of Mayer Amschel Rothschild in Frankfurt am Main, Germany. He was the son of Amschel Moses Rothschild (born circa 1710)
Thutmosis IV:
Now, it just so happens that one of Ahmose I's descendants, was part of a Moses dynasty, which waged war, invaded, and conquered, Mesopotamian lands, which included war upon Aryan kings, and the result was the Indo-Aryan Hittite empire being sent from Southern Asia, and Northern europe, to fight the out of control native egyptians.
However, as the Moseses are actually partially descended from the people they are fighting, they might themselves have certain Northern biological components in their Nubian genes.
For example, Thutmosis IV, had reddish hair !
An African with Reddish hair !!
Buriel
His hair, which is parted in the middle, is about 16 cm (6.3 in) long and dark reddish-brown.
Link for photo
Thutmose IV
Summary:
So does this make the Rothschilds Jewish?
Does it make them related to Moses?
Does it make them Nubians?
No, i do not think so.
It probably just means, Sheshi, probably liked his Haggis.
Also, it probably also means, you do not need to be Jewish to be a Zionist.
Even red haired people may think they have an entitlement to the Egyptian throne, or were somehow wronged by Sheshi's grandchildren!

submitted by StevenStevens43 to AhrensburgCulture [link] [comments]


2020.09.13 21:09 StevenStevens43 Learn Albannach. Learn your history

Learn Albannach. Learn your history
Albion:
According to legend, Brutus became the first King of Britain in the year 1112 BC, and he settles in a city on the banks of the River Thames which would later become known as Trinovantum, and even later, London.
Historia regum britannia
Brutus then founds a city on the banks of the River Thames, which he calls Troia Nova, or New Troy. The name is in time corrupted to Trinovantum, and the city is later called London.[13] He creates laws for his people and rules for twenty-four years. After his death he is buried in Trinovantum, and the island is divided between his three sons: Locrinus (England), Albanactus (Scotland) and Kamber (Wales).
Link for photo
Albania flag
Albion:
Now, you may wonder why i am waving the Albanian flag, to depict the Island of Britain. Should i not be waving the Union jack?
Well no, because at it's roots, the island of Britain was originally named Albion, which derives from the etymological Gaelic root word "Albio", and Albania, derives from the exact same root word.
You see, when the Greeks Latinised the word to Albion, and we think this means that the name Albion, comes from the Greeks, and therefore that means the belief that there is no earlier reference available for the island of Britain being referred to as Albion, and thus everything before this Greek attestation must be purely mythological, is completely wrong, and misunderstanding the evolution of language.
Quite simply, the Greeks got the the word Albion, from the already existing Gaelic word, "Albio".
All the Greeks done was Latinise the word, to better suit their dialect, and writing system.
Simple as that.
Etymology
The oldest attestation of the toponym comes from the Greek language (Ἀλβίων)[6] and Latinised as Albiōn (genitive Albionis), derives from the Proto-Celtic nasal stem \Albi̯iū* (oblique \Albiion-) and survived in Old Irish as *Albu (genitive Albann). The name originally referred to Britain as a whole, but was later restricted to Caledonia (giving the modern Scottish Gaelic name for Scotland, Alba). The root *albiio- is also found in Gaulish and Galatian albio- ("world") and Welsh elfydd (elbid, "earth, world, land, country, district"). It may be related to other European and Mediterranean toponyms such as Alpes, Albania
Link for photo
Albio
The Alan family:
Now, take a moment to go and read my article on the Alan family, and you might find out just how influential and widespread the royal family were.
At a stretch, the Alans may have even sat on the Egyptian throne for a short period around the 500's BC.
Now, in the legends of Brutus of Troy, Brutus even claims to be an "Alan".
What actually appears to be happening here, is that Albio' and his sons, Locrinus, Albanactus, and Kamber, are being Latinised to, Brutus, Francus, Alamanus and Romanus.
The Romans are simply re-writing Albino history in to their own language, and this is leading to confusion.
Historia Britonnum
Yet another Brutus, son of Hisicion, son of Alanus the first European, also traced back across many generations to Japheth, is referred to in the Historia Brittonum. This Brutus's brothers were Francus, Alamanus and Romanus, also ancestors of significant European nations.[10]
Japheth:
Now, according to the Romans, Brutus was descended from Japeth.
But in actual fact, this is inaccurate.
Albio, was actually the grandson, of Aeneas.
Historia Britonnum
[1] A more detailed story, set before the foundation of Rome, follows, in which Brutus is the grandson or great grandson of Aeneas
Alba longa:
In reality, Albios bloodline, and name, would be more consistant with the terms Alba, and Aeneas, which would simply have been a Gaelic dialectual deviant of the word Alanus, prior to the Messenian Roman invasion in the 600's BC, when Alba-Longa became Rome, and Albio became Brutus.
Alba longa
Alba Longa (occasionally written Albalonga in Italian sources) was an ancient Latin) city in Central Italy, 12 miles (19 km) southeast of Rome, in the Alban Hills. Founder and head of the Latin League, it was destroyed by the Roman Kingdom around the middle of the 7th century BC, and its inhabitants were forced to settle in Rome. In legend, Romulus and Remus, founders of Rome, had come from the royal dynasty of Alba Longa, which in Virgil's Aeneid had been the bloodline of Aeneas,
Link for photo
Alba longa
Cambria:
Now, according to legend, "Albio" gave Cambria/Cymru (Wales) to his son Camber.
Camber)
Camber, also Kamber, was the legendary first king of Cambria, according to the Geoffrey of Monmouth in the first part of his influential 12th-century pseudohistory Historia Regum Britanniae. According to Geoffrey, Cambria, the classical name for Wales, was named for him.
Link for photo.svg)
Cambria
Cimmerians:
Now, what evidence do we have for a Gaelic root word for Wales pre-dating any Roman attestations?
Well, we have Cimmerians out fighting a war in the near east around 1000 BC.
And likely led by an Alan.
Coincidentally their red dot distribution leads directly to Alba longa.
Cimmerians
The Cimmerians (also Kimmerians; Greek: Κιμμέριοι, Kimmérioi) were a nomadic Indo-European people, who appeared about 1000 BC[1] and are mentioned later in 8th century BC in Assyrian records. While the Cimmerians were often described by contemporaries as culturally "Scythian", they evidently differed ethnically from the Scythians proper, who also displaced and replaced the Cimmerians.[2]
Link for photo
Cimmerian distribution
Welsh:
Now, the scholarly understanding that the word Cimmerian, is in fact Brythonic, is now quite contemporary.
It is also very likely that this particular Brythonic dialect relates more to the Welsh branch.
Legacy
The etymology of Cymro "Welshman" (plural: Cymry), connected to the Cimmerians by 17th-century Celticists, is now accepted by Celtic linguists as being derived from a Brythonic word *kom-brogos, meaning "compatriot".[21]
Albannach:
However, again, confusion sets in here, as Brythonic is actually Latinised.
In actual fact, the language was "not" Brythonic, it was "Albannach".
And as we have already established, either on this article, or previous, Alba once pertained to the entire Island of Albion, which we now call Britain, after the Roman invasion and the erection of Hadrians wall, when Alba got pushed North, to be replaced by this "Br".
Albannach)
Albannach, Scottish Gaelic for "Scottish,"
Link for photo#/media/File:Albannach_live.JPG)
Albannach
Albanactus:
And, this brings me to Albanactus.
The supposed youngest son of "Albio".
Albanactus supposedly inherited from Albio, the land North of the Humber, which they named Albany.
In addition to this, you will also find that Humber is the river that flows between the North sea, and Irish sea, and even today, the land North of the Humber, and South of the Humber, is pretty much 100% disconnected by rivers and streams.
To find out what the old border between England and Scotland was, simply click on the link i provide, zoom in, and follow the water.
There are however hundreds of streams.
Do you remember that game "maze" when you get a pencil and try to find your way out? Well, you can do this on google maps, and find the stream that connects the irish sea to the North sea in Yorkshire.
Once you have found it.
Please then go to the Severn river, and find out the old border between Loegria and Camber, by finding the Stream which connects the severn, to the Irish sea.
Albanactus
Albanactus, according to Geoffrey of Monmouth, was the founding king of Albania or Albany. He is in effect Geoffrey's eponym for Scotland.[1] His territory was that north of the River Humber.[2]
Link for google maps
Now, what evidence do we have for ancient Albanians?
Well, we have the Scoloti, who were led by the Alans, and united themselves with the Cimmerians, in Scythia, whilst out in the near east.
Scythians
.[10][13] Based in what is modern-day Ukraine and southern Russia, the Scythians called themselves Scoloti and were led by a nomadic warrior aristocracy known as the Royal Scythians.
In the 7th century BC, the Scythians crossed the Caucasus and frequently raided the Middle East along with the Cimmerians, playing an important role in the political developments of the region.[10][
Link for photo
Alba flag
Locrinus:
Now, Locrinus was another son of Albio, and was given the land of Loegria (England).
However, a little lie is told here.
In actual fact, the land he was awarded, was nothing like the equivalent of todays "England".
He was awarded the land south of East riding of Yorkshire, and the Lake district.
Locrinus
Locrinus was a legendary king of the Britons), as recounted by Geoffrey of Monmouth. He was the oldest son of Brutus and a descendant of the Trojans through Aeneas. Following Brutus's death, Britain was divided amongst the three sons, with Locrinus receiving the portion roughly equivalent to England,
Link for photo
English flag
Isle of Cornwall:
Now, if you go google maps, you will find that Cornwall, is actually 100% seperated from British mainland, by rivers and streams, running between River Fowey, flowing out in to the Channel, and the River Gannel, flowing out in to the Irish sea.
Google maps
Queen Gwendolen:
Now this explains why Queen Gwendolen found herself fighting Loegria, from this tiny little Isle she was patronised with.
Queen Gwendolen, also known as Gwendolin, or Gwendolyn (Latin: Guendoloēna) was a legendary ruler of ancient Britain. She is said to have been queen during the 11th century BC.
As told by Geoffrey of Monmouth in his pseudohistorical account Historia Regum Britanniae, she was the repudiated queen of King Locrinus until she defeated her husband in battle at the River Stour. This river was the dividing line between Cornwall and Loegria, two key locations in ancient Britain. After defeating the king, she took on the leadership of the Britons, becoming their first queen regnant.
Link for photo
Flag of cornwall
Corineus:
Now, Albio awarded Corineus with the land of Cornwall.
Though, Corineus was not one of his relations.
It would appear Corineus was getting palmed off.
Corineus
Corineus, in medieval British legend, was a prodigious warrior, a fighter of giants, and the eponymous founder of Cornwall.
Link for photo
Corineus
Doggerland:
So what does it all mean?
Well, it probably means that in actual fact, the Scottish, English, Welsh, divide actually pre-dates Hadrians wall and Offas dyke, and actually has boundaries drawn from nature, and the Island of Albion has always been inhabited by peoples that agree they share the same island, but remain slightly autonomous, due to slight natural differences.
It also means that it is likely that the Roman-Brit, pre-dates the half cast Romano-Brit left by the Romans in the southern lands, and actually the Southern lands from the Humber down, were always quite highly influenced by a Romano-Brit, that was probably more of a Messian-Albino, back then.
At least before an Alan invasion of Aryans from Scandinavian descent in around 1112 BC, when Messian-Albinos likely got pushed to cornwall.
This would be due to the fact that Britain used to be connected with Eurasia, before doggerland sank in 6,500 BC, and therefore, before a "White" invasion, Britain would have probably been a little more Eaurasian.
Doggerland
Doggerland was an area of land, now submerged beneath the southern North Sea, that connected Britain to continental Europe. It was flooded by rising sea levels around 6500–6200 BC.
Link for photo
Doggerland
White:
And, like it or not, the word "Albion", does mean white.
Which would strongly suggest that the Alans were "White".
Etymology
the Proto-Indo-European root \albho-*, meaning "white" (cf. Ancient Greek ἀλφός, Latin albus ).
Alba Albania:
I will bring this article now, to a close, by reminding everyone about the Alba Albanian flag

Alba Albanian flag
submitted by StevenStevens43 to AhrensburgCulture [link] [comments]


2020.09.13 18:49 meladiloka YALAYOLO PEACE

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https://www.liebscher1955.de/wi8.-datenschutz
http://nihstrokenet.org/in-the-news/2020/03/18/new-fda-guidance-on-covid-19
https://www.corix.com/nus-at-univercity/news-and-service-notices/nus-at-univercity/2020/05/01/notice-of-application-for-tariff-changes-due-to-covid-19
https://aca-apac.com/my/aca-pacific/blog/malaysia-article/2020/02/03/sketchup-2020-is-here
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submitted by meladiloka to u/meladiloka [link] [comments]


2020.09.13 14:16 HomerQuotingHomer Part 2: The case for #FlattentheCurve – the significant costs and benefits of elimination and lockdown, including perspective on ‘long-term effects’ alarmism

Part 2: The case for #FlattentheCurve – the significant costs and benefits of elimination and lockdown, including perspective on ‘long-term effects’ alarmism
Part 2: The case for #FlattentheCurve – the significant costs and benefits of elimination and lockdown, including perspective on ‘long-term effects’ alarmism
Preface
In the first post of 'The case for #FlattentheCurve' I dedicated some time to the question of:
“Are we being successful; by what standard?”
This question is a much better question than making arguments from a position of “who’s right and wrong?” (i.e. generally how the Sweden debate is framed). We should be looking to optimise our strategy and using this frame we could still improve our approaches even if we were to believe we are the best in the world.
I also pointed out that we should bring some perspective to the issue of COVID-19 mortality as compared to background mortality. We should recognise that there is an inherent need for public policy to weigh up the “value of a life” and the “quality of life” alongside many other measures of public good – personal freedoms, economic outcomes, education, social cohesion, etc.
Put plainly, a human life cannot be “priceless” otherwise we would attempt to take no risks and counter-productively shorten our own lives (and certainly destroy our happiness and prosperity). If we were to pretend that human lives are priceless and seek to protect them “at all costs” then we would degrade our ability sustain overall public health and good (given limited resources). For example:
The Pharmaceutical Benefits Advisory Committee rejects 69 per cent of anti-cancer drugs because they are not cost-effective.
https://www.afr.com/policy/health-and-education/we-could-be-saving-lives-for-less-than-6m-each-20200406-p54hie
So, there is obviously a need to consider whether the Australia’s strategy for COVID-19 is balanced. I think everyone will understand this is worthwhile thing to assess. Unfortunately, it is largely ignored in the daily cycle of cases and deaths. Even worse, the topic can become a point scoring exercise over narrow data-points.
So, this post is intended to extend the discussion from fundamentals of the “skeptical position” (Part 1) to a view of whether the cost and benefit trade-off from our approach to SARS-CoV-2 / COVID-19 makes sense. As I asserted in Part 1:
“COVID-19 currently holds a very special place in [our willingness to pay to reduce the risk of death]. Governments, at least in Australasia, have had a sudden and massively increased willingness to incur unprecedented costs (not just financial expense) to reduce the risk of death. The appetite to do “whatever it takes” is not being applied simply to those who are truly at risk, but also to prevent any transmission to those who are not at much risk at all.”
I am attempting to put that assertion to the test here in the best way that I can. I would very much welcome any constructive critique, discussion, or recommendations to improve the analysis. I have tried to layout the basis and data as simply as possible.
… Everyone right to go?
Framing the discussion
Per Part 1, there is a need to outline some key points to frame the discussion.
First, the IFR of COVID-19 is undergoing continual revision and is variously estimated by different authorities and studies, e.g. ~0.6% (WHO), and ~0.4% in the above study. The IFR is also likely to be variable by region and demographics. For example, a recently study puts the IFR at 0.3% for Icelanders:
Of the 1797 persons who had recovered from SARS-CoV-2 infection, 1107 of the 1215 who were tested (91.1%) were seropositive; antiviral antibody titers assayed by two pan-Ig assays increased during 2 months after diagnosis by qPCR and remained on a plateau for the remainder of the study. Of quarantined persons, 2.3% were seropositive; of those with unknown exposure, 0.3% were positive. We estimate that 0.9% of Icelanders were infected with SARS-CoV-2 and that the infection was fatal in 0.3%.
https://www.nejm.org/doi/pdf/10.1056/NEJMoa2026116
The point of this is not to say that COVID-19 is not deadly. That would be ignoring the mortality that has already happened. However, we do need to recognise that the originally feared IFR (2.5%+) has not eventuated, and accordingly we should factor this into our weighing our response moving forward. We should also consider whether that fear drove us to take actions which were disproportionately costly to the threat posed.
Second, is that the mortality risks of COVID-19 within the general population are well established. The risk stratifies to the elderly and those with comorbidities.
The estimated IFR is close to zero for children and younger adults but rises exponentially with age, reaching 0.4% at age 55, 1.3% at age 65, 4.5% at age 75, and 15% at age 85. We find that differences in the age structure of the population and the age-specific prevalence of COVID-19 explain 90% of the geographical variation in population IFR. Consequently, protecting vulnerable age groups could substantially reduce the incidence of mortality
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v4.full.pdf
This knowledge should influence the way we view the mortality impact of COVID-19 as compared to our expectations of mortality in normal settings. We know that as you get older your mortality increases and your life expectancy decreases. Utility and quality of life also tends to degrade, although the experience is different from individual to individual, so is difficult to weigh. We do know that as you enter aged-care facilities or palliative care you are probably nearing the end of your life (an unfortunate reality).
Thirdly, we are going to need to find a way to quantify “the benefits and costs” of our strategy. This means that we need to attribute some value to a “life year” for the analysis. From my research, Australia does not have a set standard for the value of a life year (or I couldn’t find it). So I have referred to the number used by Professor Tony Blakely and Professor Nick Wilson in their March 2020 analysis:
How much do we spend to try to reap this expected gain? Based on rules of thumb in the health sector (e.g. decisions on which medicines to approve and fund) – about $A100,000 per life year.
https://pursuit.unimelb.edu.au/articles/the-maths-and-ethics-of-minimising-covid-19-deaths
Another good baseline is to look at our overall healthcare expenditure. According to this source:
In 2017–18, an estimated $185.4 billion was spent on health goods and services in Australia. This equates to an average of approximately $7,485 per person https://www.aihw.gov.au/reports/health-welfare-expenditure/health-expenditure-australia-2017-18/contents/summary
It is worth noting that includes personal, private insurance and non-government spending; with Federal and State combined spending at ~127 billion. Apparently, our spending is 7th highest in the OECD, so we can probably safely say that Australia’s appetite for spending to achieve better health outcomes is quite high.
Perspective on ‘long-term effects’ alarmism
One of the persistent points of concern is that of the potential “long-term” or chronic illnesses which could result from COVID-19. I expect it would be raised in reply to this post. You could make comparisons between this and the initial fears for the IFR; in the absence of good data (and responsible reporting) people will assume the worst possible or most extreme outcome is going to eventuate.
This video by a UK Cardiologist, shared by u/frawks24, does a really good job of putting quite a bit of the alarmism into perspective.
But, how to approach it in this analysis?
It is quite difficult because there simply is not a great deal of data or meta-analysis for ‘chronic illness or morbidity’ as being a widespread issue following COVID-19 recovery. Studies have commenced but they a long way from being completed. Some initial studies have been conducted but they demonstrate narrow effects or have even been debunked / retracted.
There are plenty of anecdotes, alarmist articles and social media posts, but nothing all that substantive so far in terms of systemic studies. Apparent illnesses following COVID-19 range from headaches and lethargy, all the way through the horrible burning pains for months on end. People are claiming all kinds of things, making comparisons to HIV, and generally conflating so called “mounting evidence” with actual evidence.
Governments which have seen widespread community transmission and recoveries are not (yet) raising the alarm over a sudden increase in other chronic illnesses popping up across their populations. Of note:
  • There has been something like ~28m confirmed infections of COVID-19 worldwide. A magnitude more cases will have gone undetected and will have been largely asymptomatic or had mild symptoms. The estimates for this range significantly (10 times seems to be suggested as a rule of thumb, but some estimates are much higher) and there is some good background on this topic here: https://ourworldindata.org/covid-models.
  • Some people are saying they have non-chronic but noticeable symptoms which linger for a period post recovery, although it is difficult to get an actual proportion of these against confirmed cases.
  • Still fewer people than this are claiming / attributing more serious chronic illnesses or conditions. The instances of these seem to be largely anecdotal and very rare as far as I can tell.
Anyway, the point of raising it is that I am not going to simply dismiss ‘long-term effects’ in my analysis. Instead, I am going to make an explicit assumption that there are some long-term effects for some proportion of the population. However, I am not going to assume it is delayed ebola virus where your organs melt after 12 months’ time. That does not seem reasonable.
More to come on this later.
Establishing a range of ‘years of life’ saved
We need to start with a baseline of the years of life we expect we will have saved by pursuing the path we have.
In the first post I provided the example of Japan, which did not implement any general lockdown, has much greater community transmission, and an older population - yet has roughly one-third the death rate per million that we do in Australia. It achieved this specifically by protecting aged-care facilities and the vulnerable. Yet, we are told there is “only one option” for Australia…Anyway, that was the last post.
For the purpose of this analysis I am going to look at a range of potential mortality outcomes under alternative settings. This does not require any fancy or difficult calculations, because we can simply look at deaths per million from overseas.
Confirmed deaths per million - Sep'10 2020 Source: Our World in Data: https://ourworldindata.org/graphetotal-covid-cases-deaths-per-million?tab=table&year=latest&time=2019-12-31..2020-09-10
Imgur: https://imgur.com/Xc3zKf8
San Marino and Andorra are very small countries, so we will remove them from our analysis, and take the average of the remaining countries, as well as the world average, which gives:

https://preview.redd.it/ab6u9orrewm51.png?width=624&format=png&auto=webp&s=3d65952290ec80efa40204817a4fc41902d2d955
Imgur: https://imgur.com/bMSOwUz
Australia’s current population is ~25.5m. So, a proxy for lives saved to-date would be between 2,200 and 16,200 lives (just by scaling to the top and average death rates above). This estimate is actually a little bit higher than Federal CHO Brendan Murphy’s estimate of 14,000 avoided deaths.
Now, let us calculate the expected age-stratification of those deaths. I will apply the Australian mortality data, and to cross-check I have also selected Italy given that we have much lower transmission.
This provides the following results:
https://preview.redd.it/pfhcoqczewm51.png?width=624&format=png&auto=webp&s=6e02f4165a464f0881d3978aac4286d54320c50e
Imgur: https://imgur.com/ZORFpDp
What we see here is that applying Italy’s mortality seems to output a greater burden on the young. So, if we use Italy as the assumption then our ‘life years” saved will be greater (i.e. we assume we are saving more life years). We can reference the Australian Life Tables as a guide to calculating an expected “numbers of years lost” for each age group, as follows:
https://preview.redd.it/6oyruzs2fwm51.png?width=624&format=png&auto=webp&s=9e937da44f1a2f5c9e0598e6b644a4d0cb0ed155
Imgur: https://imgur.com/cRzjoar
So that gives us a range of ‘gross life years saved’ between ~27,000 and ~203,000 to-date, prior to any adjustments we need to make.
Excess mortality and adjusting for real-world observations
You will hopefully note that there are two material adjustments which are required:
  1. The substantive proportion of deaths are in aged care (70%; 588 Australia-wide; 557 in Victoria), in which individuals tend to have a much lower life expectancy than the general population. Adjusting for this will bring down ‘life years saved’ as average life expectancy in aged care is 2 to 3 years. If we are conservative (again) and say that 40% of the overall deaths (from ages 70+) would have been aged-care related, then that would bring the overall ‘years of life saved’ to a ‘high-end’ of 160,421.
  2. COVID-19 mortality substantially impacts individuals with comorbidities. These are also individuals which will have a lower life expectancy than the average. However, this would be complex to calculate because we would need establish specific comorbidities impacted for Australia, and the relative life expectancy with those. So, we will exclude any adjustment for this.
By this stage we can see we have built a conservative view of life years saved by assuming more deaths and only adjusting the aged-care factor, not comorbidities. There is a further consideration that we could make, which is whether any of the ‘lives saved’ in our projection would part of background mortality or excess mortality.
Put another way, given that ~160,000 Australian’s die per annum would the ~16,200 lives saved (high-end) in this analysis be entirely in excess to that (i.e. they would not have died except for COVID-19)? Probably not. However, in the interests of keeping this simple (and conservative) I will assume that these are entirely excess deaths.
I will use the figure provided by Professor Blakely of $100,000 AUD per life year; if it is good enough for him, it is good enough for me.
This equates to ~$16bn. A pretty large number. No wonder elimination and lockdowns seemed like a great idea in March… even more so when doomsday mortality figures were being thrown around. Let us move on to the next section.
Mounting costs of massive government intervention
I’ll start this section by saying that it is obvious Victoria is creating all kinds of issues, not just for the people of Victoria who are enduring the longest and strictest lockdown in a western democracy, but for the national strategy.
Stepping back. In March, the Grattan Institute said ‘shutdown’ for 8 to 12 weeks (Endgame C) and wait for a vaccine if it was coming shortly. Unless of course the 8 to 12 week shutdown was not successful, in which case we should #FlattentheCurve (Endgame A). There are a few things they did not account for:
  • Each state taking divergent paths.
  • Victoria being the only state to fail in its control of the virus.
  • Other states slamming their borders shut until zero is achieved.
Hence, as a nation we are essentially ‘locked in’ to ‘locking down’ Victorians, otherwise the country cannot re-open. Either that or Victoria will be isolated (unless there were some partnership with NSW). This ‘critical flaw’ was always inherent in the elimination strategy because once started there was no way to force the states to work together in changing circumstances (and they have not).
Recalling a quote from Part 1:
“Not surprisingly, willingness to pay to reduce the risk of death varies significantly with the type of death.”
It bears repeating that COVID-19 seems to hold a special place on our willingness to do “whatever it takes”. So, we should reflect for a moment on whether the costs we are incurring to eliminate COVID-19 makes sense when compared to normal settings.
Let's look at the fiscal costs which have been incurred to-date. From a federal perspective, the Parliamentary Budget Office provides a good summary of the fiscal impact - noting that this is pre-extension of lockdown in Victoria.
“The analysis shows that the impact of COVID-19 may result in Commonwealth Government net debt in 2029–30 being between 14 and 24 per cent of GDP (up to $800 billion) higher than it would have been otherwise, as shown in the chart”
And…
“Any new spending measures, unless offset by other savings, would result in a further deterioration in the fiscal aggregates in these scenarios.”
In fact, the fiscal forecast has continued to deteriorate month-on-month since April, and is likely to continue to do so as the lockdown in Victoria is ongoing, international borders remain closed, and hard borders across the country prevent the recovery of key industries and economic drivers (tourism, migration, hospitality, etc.). State debts are also ballooning with Victoria’s predicament looking particularly dire right now. Given the $116bn hit is estimated for inner Melbourne alone, we can be pretty certain that the overall economic situation is looking pretty bad.
Scott Morrison’s ‘hibernate the economy’ concept which he touted at the outset of pandemic was a complete fallacy. I believe it was misleading. It is increasingly looking like the cost of COVID-19, including the drive to achieve elimination, could be well north of 1 trillion AUD when you combine lost GDP, as well as ballooning federal and state government debts.
Of course, we could not attribute all of this to our strategic choice of elimination. A recent paper by a New Zealand economist Dr Martin Lally, who analyses the cost/benefit of the New Zealand approach, makes the following point:
“Some of these GDP losses would have arisen without any government-imposed restrictions, because some people would have reduced their interactions with others anyway; for example, a foreigner electing not to make a trip to New Zealand that they would otherwise have made. Further losses would have arisen due to the additional actions of foreign governments; for example, foreign governments preventing their citizens from making foreign trips. Further losses would have arisen if the New Zealand government had followed merely a mitigation strategy. Further losses would have arisen from the New Zealand government instead following a suppression strategy. It is only the last of these losses that can be attributed to the New Zealand government choosing to lockdown rather than mitigate.”
Dr Lally suggests 25% of New Zealand’s overall projected GDP impact as attributable to lockdown, and that is also prior to their second lockdown in Auckland.
It is right to claim that we would have seen significant impacts from COVID-19 even without lockdowns and hard borders in Australia. However, it is relatively indisputable that the forced closure businesses and industries by the government, and repeated lockdowns, is going to incur a very heavy cost on its own as well.
Even if we only assume that only 10% of the potential GDP impact of $800bn (ignoring state debts etc.) is due to lockdowns, hard borders, and other restrictions then we are looking at an $80bn cost. If we used 25% (Dr Lally’s number), we would have a range between $80bn to $200bn.
Using the 'lower-end' 80bn, this equates to ~$500K to ‘per life year saved’ under our high-end projection - which is 5 times higher than Professor Blakely’s value for a life year. At the low-end projection of life years saved it would be nearly $3m per life year. Given the Pharmaceutical Benefits Advisory Committee generally approve drugs and medicines which cost less than $50K per quality adjusted life year, we know that we’re in pretty rich territory in terms of our intervention costs so far.
Another way to put it in perspective is that the cost ‘per life’ (rather than life year) would be ~$5m. For this kind cost to make sense under normal settings, then every single death / life saved (in our high projection), of the ~16,000, would need to be a relatively young adult with 40 years of life ahead of them. We know that is not the case from the IFR data.
So, at this point we have some reasonable assumptions for what we could call our “core” benefits and costs. However, there are two ‘quality of life’ assumptions we should be attributing some values to and the magnitude of these numbers could swing things substantially:
  1. Benefits from avoiding long-term effects
  2. Temporary ‘people and society’ costs as a result of lockdowns
Onwards! If you're still with me...
Assuming some numbers for ‘long-term effects’
Earlier I provided some perspective on ‘long-term effects’; recognising that we should factor in some cost because we don’t yet know the extent of this (maybe it's real, maybe it's not). A calculation for long-term effects could also be a reasonable proxy for the often stated “fear of contagion” negative impacts if we had community transmission occurring.
So, for the purposes of this analysis let us use the following assumptions:
  • A portion of COVID-19 recoveries would either have lingering symptoms which temporarily reduce their quality of life (say for 6 months).
  • A small proportion will incur some sort of chronic illness for the rest of their lives. We will also assume that the likelihood of these occurring follows the age-stratification as COVID-19 mortality, which intuitively makes sense given risk of illness and chronic illness increases as you age.
So I am going to base the analysis on the following parameters, and these produce some pretty substantive numbers:
  • 60% of the Australian population are infected before we achieve a natural level of herd immunity and the pandemic subsides; ~15.2m people
  • 10% have ‘lingering symptoms’ temporarily reducing their quality of life; ~1.5m people. We will quantify their illness by saying that their quality of life is reduced by 20% before they fully recover over a period of six months. These are reasonably bad symptoms for a lot of people.
  • 0.5% suffers a chronic illness as a result; ~75,000 people. They will lose a 25% of their remaining life expectancy. That’s a fairly substantial impact.
This is what the ‘years of life’ looks like for those assumptions:
https://preview.redd.it/96b71qusfwm51.png?width=624&format=png&auto=webp&s=52693cbcc71b4cecdf977f7ab14da964fcdbe34f
Imgur: https://imgur.com/Vbbk0hf
These are some staggering figures given that they are actually greater than ‘years of life saved’ we calculated earlier. Still, that is what people seem to be fearing so we will keep them for our purposes. The ‘benefits’ accrued by avoiding this, again using the $100,000 AUD figure, would be ~$39bn AUD.
This is a significant number and even if it is only a general assumption it is quite revealing of something else. The hyper-focus on deaths and preventing deaths (by government and media), with little value attributed to other aspects of life, misses what is a much larger part of the overall equation....
... which takes us to the next section.
Costs on people and society
Aside from GDP, there are other costs to our lives as a result of our strategy. Many of the things which are typically of value and importance to us have been temporarily taken away – such as the ability to see family who are interstate, travel, and larger social events. We know that people are being prevented or restricted from participating in some of the important milestones of their lives, such as funerals, weddings, birthdays, births, etc. These are all "worth something". As is the ability to exercise your own agency, work and just generally determine your own day.
I do not want to labour the point or make this too complex, so for the purposes of this analysis let us say that for every state, except Victoria, the balance is OK on a temporary basis (until the vaccine). The restrictions on life in these states are generally reasonable (unless you are unlucky), and as such the overall quality of life in 2020 is pretty much as it was in 2019.
Victoria is another story entirely. Some will have been devastated, some will be hanging in there, and others will be doing OK for now and just want it to be over. Every single one has had their lives impacted in some way though. For all intent and purposes, this is not a dissimilar calculation to the concept of ‘lingering effects’ in that Victorians have had some faculty they valued taken away temporarily. Even if you support the measures and you're a Victorian, there will have been some personal cost to you (unless you already lived inside 23 hours a day and never ventured outside your suburb).
Intuitively (and it has been reported as such), the costs of these measures will more greatly affect the younger age groups, who are more social and physically active. It still is not without cost to the elderly who are no doubt more isolated than ever before. So, if we assume that overall quality of life for Victorians over the last 6 months (or until 24 October) has only been reduced by a maximum of 10% in any age group (5% for the elderly) then we get something like the below.

https://preview.redd.it/xg7kmfb3gwm51.png?width=624&format=png&auto=webp&s=97a28e70e5f6cfd6bb3dbf0c0656e8628f0fcdae
Imgur: https://imgur.com/ArPCgIW
Converting to monetary terms, in the same way as above, this equates to ~$25.4bn.
It’s not near the level of ‘long-term effects’ that we calculated above, but it is not insignificant (and it is probably underestimated given the severity of actual restrictions in Victoria).
This also does not include any of the costs associated with chronic illness or deaths which might be exacerbated by the lockdowns. For example, we know that Victoria has some inordinate number of elective surgeries that have been delayed. I am not going to try and calculate those here, but they are no doubt significant as well. If you do not believe that the above ‘quality of life’ figure is reasonable, then you might choose to use it as a proxy for exacerbated illnesses… or calculate your own.
Playing (or is it praying?) for a vaccine
So, we know the vaccine is close right? We bloody well hope it is given the state of things.
Let us assume we get it before end-March 2021 and it is 100% effective, which means that we have saved every life year we would have otherwise lost in the above analysis. Victoria comes out of lockdown on time and the nation re-opens by Christmas. We do not end up spending any more money intervening through lockdown measures by that point (it's all baked in).
Under this kind of described scenario, I should increase the ‘life years saved’ because presumably we will "save more lives" over the subsequent six months. In fact, in the interests of remaining conservative, I will double that benefit and only use the low-end fiscal costs.
What does the summary look like then?
https://preview.redd.it/gkmd4yu9gwm51.png?width=624&format=png&auto=webp&s=87f01a97a5f9c030a93340f99b7735205e0e5297
Imgur: https://imgur.com/4ZtxHfe
It looks like we are well and truly underwater in terms of strategy; by some ~$30bn. Even if you make no allowance for the temporary ‘quality of life costs’ of lockdown in Victoria, but assume you will have avoided long-term effects, the equation still appears to be negative for our strategy.
How would we reconcile this given we were told this is the best way? Or the "only way" if you're in Victoria.
The elimination and lockdown strategy may have made sense at 8 to 12 weeks, but it's downside risks and costs were vastly underestimated. In the panic of March 2020, an “at all costs” approach probably made sense. If the mortality rate from COVID-19 was 2.5%, then it would have been justified. However, the mortality rate is simple is not that high in observation. Further to this, if the vaccine does not prove to be fully effective at preventing community transmission and mortality from COVID-19, then our claimed benefits can only get worse.
In fact, if you support elimination and lockdown at this point, a useful question worth asking is:
  • How many lives do we have to save for the elimination and lockdown strategy to be successful?
  • If the vaccine isn't fully effective, is a 90% reduction in comparative mortality good enough? How about a 50% reduction?
  • Do we need to guarantee zero excess deaths from COVID-19 before we re-open?
Before I close out, how might I interpret my own analysis in a way that is a counterfactual to support the ‘elimination and lockdown’ argument?
  • Victoria’s bungling has cost the whole nation dearly (and Victorians obviously)
  • If not for Victoria, we would have been shutdown for only 8 to 12 weeks nationally.
  • If not for Victoria, then the national borders would be open and the impact to the nation would be far less than it will end up being. We would in fact be recovering very quickly.
  • Therefore 'staying the course' makes sense for the majority of Australians based on the current settings they are experiencing (but perhaps not when all the costs are counted at 'the end').
Closing comment
If you have managed to get through this ~5000 word analysis / argument, then I say to you “congratulations, but what are you doing with your life?”… :)
Really though, you may vehemently disagree on the assertions, calculations, or assumptions used here. You may agree in parts, but think some of these are underestimated or overestimated. Ultimately, this is to prompt discussion and I will correct any mistakes I've made or even happy to make reasoned adjustments.
Any feedback or genuine discussion is much appreciated.
submitted by HomerQuotingHomer to CoronavirusDownunder [link] [comments]


2020.09.13 09:24 AutoModerator FIA Formula 2 Championship: Mugello - Sprint Race Discussion

FIA F2 Tuscan Grand Prix - Sprint Race

F1FS Wiki: FIA F2 Guide 2020 Drivers & Teams 2020 Calendar

Session Times

All times are in CEST (UTC+2:00)
  • Practice: Fri 11 Sep 2020, 12:55 (UTC+2)
  • Qualifying: Fri 11 Sep 2020, 17:00 (UTC+2)
  • Feature Race: Sat 12 Sep 2020, 16:45 (UTC+2)
  • Sprint Race: Sun 13 Sep 2020, 11:55 (UTC+2)
You can convert the session times to your local time via Timeanddate.com.
A full time table of the weekends events can be found here: Link

Autodromo Internazionale del Mugello

Scarperia e San Piero, Tuscany, Italy
Circuit Diagram
Length: 5.245 km (3.259 mi)
Turns: 15
Distance:
  • Feature Race: 33 laps - 173.085 km (Mandatory pit-stop)
  • Sprint Race: 23 laps - 120.635 km

1984

1984 Pole Time: 1:39.450 ( Christian Danner, BS Automotive)
1984 Fastest Lap: 1:43.920 ( Mike Thackwell, Ralt Racing)
1984 Winner: Mike Thackwell, Ralt Racing

2020

2020 Pole Time: 1:30.133 ( Christian Lundgaard, ART Grand Prix)
2020 Fastest Lap:
  • Feature Race: 1:33.969 ( Louis Delétraz, Charouz Racing System)
  • Sprint Race:
2020 Winner:
  • Feature Race: Nikita Mazepin, Hitech Grand Prix
  • Sprint Race:

Provisional Starting Grid

Pos Car Driver Team
1 #16 A. Markelov BWT HWA RACELAB
2 #1 J. Vips DAMS
3 #6 C. Lundgaard ART Grand Prix
4 #20 M. Schumacher PREMA Racing
5 #15 F. Drugovich MP Motorsport
6 #11 L. Delétraz Charouz Racing System
7 #25 L. Ghiotto Hitech Grand Prix
8 #24 N. Mazepin Hitech Grand Prix
9 #5 M. Armstrong ART Grand Prix
10 #8 J. Daruvala Carlin
11 #14 N. Matsushita MP Motorsport
12 #4 C. Ilott UNI-Virtuosi
13 #12 P. Piquet Charouz Racing System
14 #23 M. Sato Trident
15 #22 R. Nissany Trident
16 #7 Y. Tsunoda Carlin
17 #2 D. Ticktum DAMS
18 #10 G. Samaia Campos Racing
19 #9 J. Aitken Campos Racing
20 #3 G. Zhou UNI-Virtuosi
21 #17 G. Alesi BWT HWA RACELAB
22 #21 R. Shwartzman PREMA Racing

Live Timing & Streaming

The FIA F2 championship has it's own official Live Timing services.
  • Live Timing: Here.
  • List of Broadcasting Channels: Here
For Information about streaming, please visit /motorsportsstreams. Thank you.

F1FS Guide

New to FIA Formula 2? You can read our dedicated guide HERE, or watch our video guide from last year HERE!

Twitter

For up to date information regarding this series, follow these Twitter accounts:

Discord

We have a Discord server for the subreddit, check it out here: Link

On-Demand Race Replays

You can access previous races of this series and more here: F1FS Race Replays

Top 5

Drivers' Championship
Pos. Change Driver Points
1 1 Mick Schumacher 153
2 1 Callum Ilott 149
3 Robert Shwartzman 140
4 1 Christian Lundgaard 128
5 2 Nikita Mazepin 127
Teams' Championship
Pos. Change Team Points
1 PREMA Racing 293
2 UNI-Virtuosi Racing 251
3 Hitech Grand Prix 216
4 ART Grand Prix 164
5 Carlin 147
Full championship standings here: Link
submitted by AutoModerator to F1FeederSeries [link] [comments]


2020.09.13 07:56 AutoModerator FIA Formula 3 Championship: Mugello - Race 2 Discussion

FIA Formula 3 Tuscan Grand Prix - Race 2

F1FS Wiki: FIA Formula 3 Guide 2020 Drivers & Teams 2020 Calendar

Session Times

All times are in CEST (UTC+2:00)
  • Practice: Fri 11 Sep 2020, 09:35 (UTC+2)
  • Qualifying: Fri 11 Sep 2020, 14:05 (UTC+2)
  • Race 1: Sat 12 Sep 2020, 10:25 (UTC+2)
  • Race 2: Sun 13 Sep 2020, 10:30 (UTC+2)
You can convert the session times to your local time via Timeanddate.com.
A full time table of the weekends events can be found here: Link

Autodromo Internazionale del Mugello

Scarperia e San Piero, Tuscany, Italy
Circuit Diagram
Length: 5.245 km (3.259 mi)
Turns: 15
Distance:
  • Race 1: 21 Laps - 113.925 km
  • Race 2: 21 Laps - 113.925 km

2019

Mugello is a new addition to the series and haven't been featured previously.

2020

2020 Pole Time: 1:35.328 ( Lirim Zendeli, Trident)
2020 Fastest Lap:
  • Race 1: 1:37.127 ( Lirim Zendeli, Trident)
  • Race 2:
2020 Winner:
  • Race 1: Frederik Vesti, PREMA Racing
  • Race 2:

Provisional Starting Grid

Pos No. Driver Team
1 #5 L. Lawson Hitech Grand Prix
2 #9 S. Fernandéz ART Grand Prix
3 #11 D. Beckmann Trident
4 #8 A. Smolyar ART Grand Prix
5 #3 L. Sargeant PREMA Racing
6 #14 E. Fittipaldi HWA RACELAB
7 #10 L. Zendeli Trident
8 #7 T. Pourchaire ART Grand Prix
9 #15 J. Hughes HWA RACELAB
10 #2 F. Vesti PREMA Racing
11 #1 O. Piastri PREMA Racing
12 #17 R. Verschoor MP Motorsport
13 #16 J. Doohan HWA RACELAB
14 #6 D. Hauger Hitech Grand Prix
15 #27 D. Schumacher Carlin Buzz Racing
16 #22 M. Nannini Jenzer Motorsport
17 #12 O. Caldwell Trident
18 #21 F. Malvestiti Jenzer Motorsport
19 #20 C. Williams Jenzer Motorsport
20 #29 A. Peroni Campos Racing
21 #19 L. Dunner MP Motorsport
22 #31 S. Floersch Campos Racing
23 #28 C. Das Carlin Buzz Racing
24 #26 C. Novalak Carlin Buzz Racing
25 #30 A. Deledda Campos Racing
26 #23 R. Stanek Charouz Racing System
27 #25 M. Belov Charouz Racing System
28 #18 B. Viscaal MP Motorsport

Live Timing & Streaming

The FIA Formula 3 series has it's own official Live Timing services.
  • Live Timing: Here.
  • List of Broadcasting Channels: Here
For Information about streaming, please visit /motorsportsstreams. Thank you.

F1FS Guide

New to FIA Formula 3? You can watch our dedicated video guide that introduces the series HERE!

Twitter

For up to date information regarding this series, follow these Twitter accounts:

Discord

We have a Discord server for the subreddit, check it out here: Link

On-Demand Race Replays

You can access previous races of this series here: 2020 FIA Formula 3 Championship Race Replays

Top 5

Drivers' Championship
Pos. Change Driver Points
1 Oscar Piastri 160
2 Logan Sargeant 160
3 Theo Pourchaire 151
4 2 Frederik Vesti 142,5
5 1 Liam Lawson 128
Teams' Championship
Pos. Change Team Points
1 PREMA Racing 462,5
2 Trident 249,5
3 ART Grand Prix 237
4 Hitech Grand Prix 152
5 1 HWA RACELAB 125,5
Full championship standings here: Link
submitted by AutoModerator to F1FeederSeries [link] [comments]


2020.09.12 20:00 CaspianX2 Full list of upcoming games on the Nintendo Switch (US) (Updated 9/12/2020)

Console exclusives (games that are also on PC and/or mobile, but not on other consoles) in Italics. Nintendo exclusives (games that are only on Nintendo platforms) in bold.
For those looking at this list and not sure what's likely to be noteworthy, I have compiled a page with noteworthy releases on Switch for September 2020. Please give them a look if you want to see what games are likely to be some of September's highlights!
As for the full list of upcoming games, here you go:
Games Release date Date confirmed by?
Rebel Galaxy Outlaw 9/22/20 Official Website/Official Website
Castlestorm 2 9/23/20 Nintendo.com
Orbit XL 9/23/20 Nintendo.com
Twin Breaker: A Sacred Symbols Adventure 9/23/20 Nintendo.com
Unrailed! 9/23/20 Nintendo.com
Alluris 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Big-Bobby-Car - The BigRace 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Breakpoint 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Dungreed 9/24/20 Official Trailer
Embracelet 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Going Under 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Gothic Murder: Adventure That Changes Destiny 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Great Conqueror: Rome 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Lost Ember 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Micro Pico Racers 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
My Diggy Dog 2 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Retro Classix Collection #1: Data East 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Rivals of Aether 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Roller Coaster Tycoon 3 Complete Edition 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Secrets of Me 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
This is the Zodiac Speaking 9/24/20 Official Twitter Post
Wartile 9/24/20 Nintendo.com
Car Driving School Simulator 9/25/20 Nintendo.com
Jet Set Knights 9/25/20 Nintendo.com
Port Royale 4 9/25/20 Official Twitter Post
TrollHunters: Defenders of Arcadia 9/25/20 Nintendo.com
Bacon Man: An Adventure 9/25/20 Nintendo.com
Undead Darlings ~No Cure For Love~ 9/28/20 Nintendo.com
Umihara Kawase Bazooka! 9/29/20 Official Trailer
Projection: First Light 9/30/20 Nintendo.com
Detective Case and Clown Bot in: Murder in The Hotel Lisbon 9/30/20 Nintendo.com
Sunless Skies: Sovereign Edition August/September 2020 Official Twitter Post
Curved Space September 2020 Official Trailer
Drive Buy September 2020 Official Trailer/Official Twitter Post
Gamer Girl September 2020 Official Trailer (Trailer no longer available)
Alwa's Legacy Summer 2020 Official Twitter Post
Calico Summer 2020 Official Website
Eldest Souls (Timed Console Exclusive) Summer 2020 Nintendo.com
King of the Hat Summer 2020 Nintendo.com
Rogue Heroes: Ruins of Tasos Summer 2020 Official Website
Alter Cosmos Q3 2020 Official Website
Counter Terrorist Agency Q3 2020 Official Website
Crown Trick Q3 2020 Official Website
Driftland: The Magic Revival Q3 2020 Official Website
Dungeon Defenders Awakened (Timed Exclusive) Q3 2020 Official Twitter Post
Farm Mechanic Simulator Q3 2020 Official Website
Lord Winklebottom Investigates Q3 2020 Official Website
Nogunz: Doppelganger Edition Q3 2020 Official Trailer
The Academy: The First Riddle Q3 2020 Official Trailer
Train Mechanic Simulator Q3 2020 Official Website
Candy Raid: The Factory 10/1/20 Nintendo.com
Farm Builder 10/1/20 Nintendo.com
Filament 10/1/20 Nintendo.com
Liege Dragon 10/1/20 Nintendo.com
Smoots World Cup Tennis 10/1/20 Nintendo.com
Super Mario Bros. 35 (Limited Release, Nintendo Switch Online Subscription Required) 10/1/20 Nintendo.com
Warsaw 10/1/20 Nintendo.com
Ys Origin 10/1/20 Nintendo.com
103 10/2/20 Nintendo.com
Make a Killing 10/2/20 Nintendo.com
Agatha Christie - The ABC Murders 10/6/20 Nintendo.com
Let's Sing: Queen 10/6/20 Official Website
Nickelodeon Kart Racers 2 10/6/20 Nintendo.com
Aery: Sky Castle 10/8/20 Nintendo.com
Game Dev Tycoon 10/8/20 Nintendo.com
I Am Dead (Timed Exclusive) 10/8/20 Nintendo.com
Ikenfell 10/8/20 Official Twitter Post
Piofore: Fated Memories 10/8/20 Nintendo.com
Puddle Knights 10/8/20 Nintendo.com
Torn Tales: Rebound Edition 10/8/20 Nintendo.com
Ben 10: Power Trip! 10/9/20 Nintendo.com
FIFA 21 Nintendo Switch Legacy Edition 10/9/20 Nintendo.com
The Survivalists 10/9/20 Nintendo.com
GI Joe: Operation Blackout 10/13/20 Nintendo.com
Prinny 1•2: Exploded and Reloaded 10/13/20 Official Trailer
Prinny: Can I Really Be the Hero? 10/13/20 Nintendo.com
Prinny 2: Dawn of Operation Panties, Dood! 10/13/20 Nintendo.com
Robotics;Notes Double Pack 10/13/20 Official Trailer
Transformers: Battlegrounds 10/13/20 Official Trailer
Alpaca Ball: Allstars 10/15/20 Official Website
Batbarian: Testament of the Primordials 10/15/20 Official Twitter Post
Burst Shooter 10/13/20 Nintendo.com
Cloudpunk 10/15/20 Official Trailer
Hardcore Mecha 10/15/20 Nintendo.com
Ring of Pain 10/15/20 Official Trailer
Space Crew 10/15/20 Official Trailer
9 Monkeys of Shaolin 10/16/20 Nintendo.com
Mario Kart Live: Home Circuit 10/16/20 Super Mario Bros. 35th Anniversary Direct
Zoids Wild Blast Unleashed 10/16/20 Nintedo.com
Carto 10/27/20 Official Trailer
Cobra Kai 10/27/20 Official Trailer (IGN Exclusive)
My Universe - Fashion Boutique 10/27/20 Official Website
The Bluecoats - North & South 10/27/20 Official Website
Gibbous - A Cthulhu Adventure 10/28/20 Official Twitter Post
Mad Rat Dead 10/30/20 Official Trailer
Pikmin 3 Deluxe 10/30/20 Nintendo.com
Dusk Halloween 2020 Official Trailer
Hidden Objects Collection October 2020 Official Trailer
Maid of Sker October 2020 Official Twitter Post
Monster Truck Championship October 2020 Official Trailer
Oddworld: New 'N Tasty October 2020 Official Trailer
Slide Stars October 2020 Official Website
Bakugan: Champions of Vestroia (Multiple Versions) 11/3/20 Nintendo.com
Jurassic World Evolution: Complete Edition 11/3/20 Nintendo.com
My Universe - School Teacher 11/3/20 Official Website
PAW Patrol Mighty Pups Save Adventure Bay 11/6/20 Official Trailer
Fuser 11/10/20 Nintendo.com
My Universe - Cooking Star Restaurant 11/10/20 Official Website
Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin 11/10/20 Nintendo.com
XIII 11/10/20 Official Trailer (IGN Summer of Gaming Event 2020)
Just Dance 2021 11/12/20 Nintendo.com
Kingdom Hearts: Melody of Memory 11/13/20 Nintendo.com
Let's Sing 2021 11/13/20 Official Website
Cris Tales 11/17/20 Official Website
Professor Rubik's Brain Fitness 11/17/20 Official Website
Who Wants to Be a Millionaire? 11/17/20 Official Website
Hyrule Warriors: Age of Calamity 11/20/20 Nintendo.com
Cafe Enchante November 2020 Official Website
Death Crown November 2020 Official Trailer
Ruggero Deodato's Cannibal November 2020 Official Website
Chronos: Before the Ashes 12/1/20 Official Twitter Post
Empire of Sin 12/1/20 Nintendo.com
Immortals Fenyx Rising (formerly Gods & Monsters) 12/3/20 Official Trailer
Fitness Boxing 2: Rhythm & Exercise 12/4/20 Nintendo.com
Puyo Puyo Tetris 2 12/8/20 Nintendo Direct Mini: Partner Showcase August 2020
Collection of SaGa Final Fantasy Legend 12/15/20 Nintendo.com
Override 2: Super Mech League December 2020 Official Trailer
Pretty Princess Party December 2020 Official Website
Apex Legends Fall 2020 Nintendo Twitter Post
Axiom Verge 2 Fall 2020 Indie World Showcase 12.10.2019
Commandos 2 HD Remaster Fall 2020 Official Website
Cyanide and Happiness: Freakpocalypse: Part 1 (Timed Console Exclusive) Fall 2020 Nintendo.com
Cyber Shadow Fall 2020 Official Website
GONNER2 Fall 2020 Nintendo.com
Grindstone Fall 2020 Nintendo.com
Oceanhorn 2: Knights of the Lost Realm Fall 2020 Official Trailer
PixelJunk Eden 2 Fall 2020 Nintendo.com
Roki Fall 2020 Publisher Post on Reddit
Shantae: Risky's Revenge - Director's Cut Fall 2020 Official Twitter Post
The Red Lantern Fall 2020 Nintendo.com
Torchlight III Fall 2020 Nintendo.com
Harvest Moon: One World Autumn 2020 (European Release Date) Nintendo.co.uk
Toy Soldiers HD Autumn 2020 Official Website
Alchemic Cutie Q4 2020 Official Website
Circadian City Q4 2020 Announce Trailer
Defense Corp Q4 2020 Developer Comment on Reddit
Ever Forward Q4 2020 Official Website
Metal Revolution Q4 2020 Official Announcement on New Game+ Expo Live Stream (via Gematsu)
Pumpkin Jack Q4 2020 Official Trailer
Golden Force Last Quarter 2020 Official Trailer
Atelier Ryza 2: Lost Legends & The Secret Fairy Winter 2020 Official Trailer
Clive 'N' Wrench Winter 2020 Official Trailer
Taiko No Tatsujin: Rhythmic Adventure Pack Winter 2020 Nintendo.com
B.Ark (Timed Exclusive) Late 2020 Nintendo.com
Beach Buggy Racing 2 Late 2020 Official Website
Charterstone Late 2020 Official Trailer
Dicey Dungeons Late 2020 Nintendo.com
Hoa Late 2020 Wholesome Direct 5-26-2020
Phogs! Late 2020 Nintendo.com
Quantum League Late 2020 Nintendo.com
Signs of the Sojourner Late 2020 Official Trailer
Dangerous Driving 2 Holiday 2020 Official Website
Scott Pilgrim Vs. The World: The Game Complete Edition Holiday 2020 Official Twitter Post
Sniper Elite 4 Holiday 2020 Nintendo.com
Speed 3 Grand Prix Holiday 2020 Official Trailer
Re:Zero – The Prophecy of the Throne Winter 2020/2021 Official Trailer
Aground 2020 Official Website
Astrodogs 2020 Developer post on Reddit
Black Book 2020 Official Trailer
Bladed Fury 2020 Official Twitter Post
Boyfriend Dungeon 2020 Nintendo.com
Bravely Default II 2020 Nintendo.com
Breakpoint 2020 Official Twitter Post
Car Mechanic Flipper 2020 Official Website
Circuit Superstars 2020 Official Website
Collapsus 2020 Official Website
Conarium 2020 Official Trailer
Cthulhu: Books of Ancients 2020 Official Website
DARQ: Complete Edition 2020 Official Trailer
Devil's Hunt 2020 Official Twitter Post
Digimon Survive 2020 Anime Expo panel (relayed by NintendoEverything.com)
Door Kickers 2020 QubicGames 2020 Direct
Eastward 2020 Nintendo.com
Electrix 2020 Official Website
Farm & Fix 2020 2020 Official Website
Farm Manager 2018 2020 Official Website
Flipper Mechanic 2020 Official Website
Gearshifters 2020 Official Website
God Fire 2020 QubicGames 2020 Direct
Good Night Knight 2020 QubicGames 2020 Direct
Greak: Memories of Azur 2020 Official Trailer
Hatch Tales (Formerly Chicken Wiggle Workshop) 2020 Official Website
Haven 2020 Nintendo.com
Hazel Sky 2020 Official Trailer
Heaven's Vault 2020 Official Twitter Post
Hellpoint 2020 Official Twitter Post
Hero: Flood Rescue 2020 Official Website
Hindsight 20/20 2020 Announce Trailer
Hyperbrawl Tournament 2020 Official Website
Kingpin: Reloaded 2020 Official Trailer
King's Bounty II 2020 Nintendo.com
Littlewood 2020 Official Twitter Page
Lords of Exile 2020 Official Website/Official Trailer
Mail Mole 2020 Official Trailer
Maneater 2020 Official Twitter Post
Mars Horizon 2020 Official Website
Moero Crystal H 2020 Official Trailer
Moon Village 2020 Official Website
Mushrooms: Forest Walker 2020 Official Website
N1RV Ann-A 2020 Announce Trailer
Necrobarista 2020 Official Twitter Page
Nyx: The Awakening 2020 Official Reveal Teaser/Official Website
Olija 2020 Official Twitter Post
Olympic Games Tokyo 2020 - The Official Videogame 2020 Official Website
P.U.G.S. Agents 2020 Official Website
Pillars of Eternity II: Deadfire 2020 Interview With Developer
Plastic Rebellion 2020 Official Website
Poker Club 4K 2020 Official Trailer
Real Boxing 2 2020 QubicGames 2020 Direct
Robotics;Notes Elite 2020 Official Website
Scourge Bringer 2020 Nintendo.com
Sail Forth 2020 Nintendo.com
Samurai Gunn 2 2020 Nintendo.com
Shiren the Wanderer: The Tower of Fortune and the Dice of Fate 2020 Official Trailer
Spacebase Startopia 2020 Announce Trailer
Spin Rhythm XD 2020 Announce Trailer
Tennis World Tour 2 2020 Official Trailer
The Good Life 2020 Nintendo.com
This Is Pool 2020 Official Website
This Is Snooker 2020 Official Website
Those Who Remain 2020 Official Twitter Page
Trigger Witch 2020 Kinda Funny Games E3 Showcase
Unheard 2020 Official Twitter Post
Unlucky Seven 2020 Official Website
Unto the End 2020 Official Trailer
Zengeon 2020 Official Trailer
Purrtato Tail: By the Light of the Elderstar 2020 "or when it's done" Official Fact Sheet
House Designer 2020/2021 Official Website
Ring of Life: Survive in Proxima 2020/2021 Official Website
Iris.Fall 1/7/21 Nintendo.com
Little Nightmares II 2/1/21 Official Twitter Post
Super Mario 3D World + Bowser's Fury 2/12/21 Nintendo.com
Wrath: Aeon of Ruin 2/25/21 Official Website
Balan Wonderworld 3/26/21 Official Twitter Post
Monster Hunter Rise 3/26/21 Nintendo.com
Turrican Anthology Vol. 1 February/March 2021 Official Website
Turrican Anthology Vol. 2 February/March 2021 Official Website
Sky: Children of the Light "A few months into 2021" Official Website
Blue Fire (Timed Exclusive) Q1 2021 Nintendo.com
Foreclosed Q2 2021 Developer Interview
Pet Clinic - Cats & Dogs Q1 2021 Official Website
Wonder Boy: Asha in Monster World Q1 2021 Official Gamescom Trailer (via IGN)
Turrican Collector's Edition April/May 2021 Official Website
Big Rumble Boxing: Creed Champions Spring 2021 Nintendo.com
Lego Star Wars: The Skywalker Saga Spring 2021 Official Trailer
Shin Megami Tensei III: Nocturne HD Remaster Spring 2021 Nintendo Direct Mini 7-20-20 Partner Showcase
Subnautica Early 2021 Nintendo.com
Subnautica: Below Zero Early 2021 Nintendo.com
Disgaea 6: Defiance of Destiny Summer 2021 Nintendo.com
Monster Hunter Stories 2: Wings of Ruin Summer 2021 Nintendo.com
Ys IX: Monstrum Nox Summer 2021 Official Trailer
Party Crasher Simulator Second Half of 2021 Official Press Release
The Lord of the Rings: Gollum Late 2021 Gamescom 2020 presentation (via Dailyradar)
Aeon Must Die 2021 Official Trailer
Backbone 2021 Official Website
Bear and Breakfast (Timed console exclusive) 2021 Nintendo.com
Card Shark 2021 Nintendo.com
Dordogne 2021 Official Trailer
Dual Gear 2021 Official Trailer
Earth Defense Force: World Brothers 2021 Official Trailer (Gamespot Exclusive)
Fallen Legion: Revenants 2021 Official Trailer (New Games Plus Expo 2020)
Gamedec 2021 Official Trailer (Gamescom 2020)
Garden Story 2021 Nintendo.com
Graven 2021 Official Trailer
Lost in Random 2021 Official Press Release
Lost Words 2021 Official Twitter Post
Mineko's Night Market 2021 Nintendo.com
No More Heroes 3 2021 Nintendo.com/Official Twitter Post
Rogue Lords 2021 Official Trailer
Rune Factory 5 2021 Nintendo.com
Serial Cleaners 2021 Official Trailer
She Dreams Elsewhere 2021 Nintendo.com
Shin Megami Tensei V 2021 Nintendo Direct Mini 7-20-20 Partner Showcase
Skatebird 2021 Indie World Showcase 12.10.2019/Official Statement on Kickstarter.com
Starbase Startopia 2021 Official Twitter Post
Saviors of Sapphire Wings/Stranger of Sword City Revisited 2021 Official Trailer
Summer at the Edge of the Universe 2021 Official Twitter Post
Tormented Souls 2021 Official Trailer
Trails of Cold Steel IV 2021 Official Trailer
Vampire: The Masquerade - Swansong 2021 Official Trailer
Warhammer Age of Sigmar: Storm Ground 2021 Official Trailer (via IGN - Gamescom 2020)
Sea of Stars 2022 Official Trailer/Official Trailer
(Note: TBA Dates and Missed Release Dates in comments)
I miss anything? Mis-marked exclusivity? Have an official source with updated info? Let me know!
submitted by CaspianX2 to NintendoSwitch [link] [comments]


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